American Public Education Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| APEI Stock | USD 20.62 0.07 0.34% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your below-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding American Public Education is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of American Public's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out American Public Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as American and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards American Public Education. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
American |
Execute American Public Buy or Sell Advice
The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Public Education. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Public Education or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Public's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
American Public Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| American Public had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 600.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 317.86 M. | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: During American Education Week, public asked to reset K-12 views - Public News Service |
American Public Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of American Public's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Public's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Public daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Public Education price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Public returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American Public.
| Mean Return | 0.44 | Value At Risk | -3.55 | Potential Upside | 4.22 | Standard Deviation | 3.11 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Public historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
American Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-09-30 | 470.2 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 404.2 K | Systematic Financial Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 346.3 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 317.9 K | Foundry Partners, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 267.6 K | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 216.9 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 205.3 K | Hillsdale Investment Management Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 199.4 K | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2024-06-30 | 160.1 K | 325 Capital Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.3 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 1.5 M |
American Public Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (9.4M) | 24.9M | (78.1M) | (20.2M) | 14.9M | 15.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 31.1M | 39.9M | 4.4M | 12.8M | 31.6M | 26.0M | |
| Depreciation | 15.6M | 13.0M | 17.8M | 32.1M | 27.8M | 14.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 9.5M | 882K | 3.0M | 150.8M | 73.8M | 77.5M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 7.3M | 4.9M | 11.8M | 16.4M | 13.9M | 16.3M | |
| Net Income | 10.0M | 18.8M | 17.8M | (115.0M) | (47.3M) | (44.9M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 202.7M | 227.7M | 149.6M | 129.5M | 144.3M | 120.6M | |
| Change To Inventory | 2.2M | 5.7M | (6.6M) | (4.2M) | (4.8M) | (5.1M) | |
| Change Receivables | 2.7M | (6.3M) | (7.6M) | (2.0M) | (1.8M) | (1.9M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 12.0M | 7.1M | 15.3M | 114.2M | 131.3M | 137.9M | |
| Investments | (7.3M) | (4.2M) | (336.7M) | (13.7M) | (14.9M) | (15.6M) |
American Public Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Public or Diversified Consumer Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Public's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
American Public Volatility Alert
American Public Education currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.1 and Jensen Alpha of 0.18. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Public's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Public's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.American Public Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing American Public's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Public's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Public and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Public or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Public's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Public by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare American Public to competition |
| Fundamentals | American Public | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0565 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0367 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 471.55 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 17.71 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.86 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 93.83 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 744.02 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.53 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.45 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.60 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 600.54 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 317.86 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (20.49 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (47.29 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 157.72 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 8.35 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 204.73 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.87 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.43 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 14.16 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 45.51 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.82 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.53 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.98 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 23.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.39 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.24 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 365.22 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 557.39 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (49.1 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 143.39 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Braner Michael David of 17872 shares of American Public at 16.77 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
American Public Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About American Public Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell American Public Education? Buying financial instruments such as American Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out American Public Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Public. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Public listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.43) | Earnings Share 0.53 | Revenue Per Share 34.76 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.015 | Return On Assets 0.0367 |
The market value of American Public Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Public's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Public's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Public's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Public's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Public's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Public is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Public's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.