Autonation Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AN Stock | USD 160.21 3.54 2.26% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding AutoNation is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of AutoNation's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out AutoNation Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in AutoNation Stock, please use our How to Invest in AutoNation guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AutoNation and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards AutoNation. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
AutoNation |
Execute AutoNation Buy or Sell Advice
The AutoNation recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AutoNation. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AutoNation or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AutoNation's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
AutoNation Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| AutoNation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AutoNation has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: AutoNation Inc Trading Down 4.58 percent on Mar 13 |
AutoNation Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of AutoNation's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AutoNation's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AutoNation daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AutoNation price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AutoNation returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AutoNation.
| Mean Return | -0.18 | Value At Risk | -3.6 | Potential Upside | 2.07 | Standard Deviation | 1.61 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AutoNation historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
AutoNation Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as AutoNation, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AutoNation back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2024-12-31 | 523.3 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 483.2 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 435.4 K | Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al | 2024-12-31 | 383.2 K | Cartenna Capital, Lp | 2024-12-31 | 334.6 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 327.2 K | Gabelli Funds Llc | 2024-12-31 | 290 K | Horizon Asset Management Inc/ny | 2024-12-31 | 282.2 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 276.4 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 3 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.4 M |
AutoNation Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 527.2M | (509.1M) | 34.8M | (18.4M) | 26.4M | 48.1M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.1B | 1.4B | 1.3B | 313.7M | 314.7M | 157.4M | |
| Depreciation | 198.9M | 193.3M | 200.3M | 220.5M | 240.7M | 141.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 245M | (34.2M) | 52.8M | 30M | 314.7M | 330.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 156M | 215.7M | 329M | 410.3M | 328.5M | 210.3M | |
| Net Income | 381.6M | 1.4B | 1.4B | 1.0B | 692.2M | 361.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 569.7M | 60.6M | 95.4M | 77M | 103.4M | 153.7M | |
| Dividends Paid | 52.7M | 54.5M | 3.4M | 3.1B | 3.5B | 3.7B | |
| Change To Inventory | 703.6M | 800.4M | (175.5M) | (950.1M) | (398.5M) | (378.6M) | |
| Change Receivables | 56.2M | 70M | 114.9M | (129.2M) | (148.6M) | (141.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (491M) | (33.6M) | 880M | 442.4M | 398.2M | 418.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | 37.8M | 231.6M | (21.5M) | 78.4M | 90.2M | 94.7M | |
| Investments | 55.4M | (5.5M) | (19.6M) | (729M) | 12.3M | 12.9M |
AutoNation Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AutoNation or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AutoNation's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AutoNation stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
AutoNation Volatility Alert
AutoNation exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.7 and kurtosis of 0.91. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AutoNation's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AutoNation's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.AutoNation Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing AutoNation's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AutoNation's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AutoNation and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AutoNation or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AutoNation's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AutoNation by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare AutoNation to competition |
| Fundamentals | AutoNation | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.3 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0663 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 15.09 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 39.06 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 8.20 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 87.89 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.63 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 4.96 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.64 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.23 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 26.77 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 4.79 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.6 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 692.2 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 72.6 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 8.93 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 8.65 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.42 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.05 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 62.95 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 314.7 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.40 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 16.92 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.73 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 209.36 | |
| Number Of Employees | 25.1 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.32 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.15 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 13 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 5.33 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (1.61 B) | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 6269 shares by Gianluca Camplone of AutoNation at 183.49 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
AutoNation Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AutoNation . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 17924.87 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.9008 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 159.37 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 159.65 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.62 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 3.54 |
About AutoNation Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell AutoNation? Buying financial instruments such as AutoNation Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out AutoNation Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in AutoNation Stock, please use our How to Invest in AutoNation guide.You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AutoNation. If investors know AutoNation will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AutoNation listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | Earnings Share 16.92 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.066 | Return On Assets |
The market value of AutoNation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AutoNation that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AutoNation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AutoNation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AutoNation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AutoNation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AutoNation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AutoNation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AutoNation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.