Aemetis Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AMTX Stock | USD 1.68 0.09 5.66% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aemetis is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aemetis given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aemetis, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Aemetis Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Aemetis Stock please use our How to Invest in Aemetis guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aemetis and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Aemetis. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
Aemetis |
Execute Aemetis Buy or Sell Advice
The Aemetis recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aemetis. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aemetis or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aemetis' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Unstable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Aemetis Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Aemetis generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aemetis may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Aemetis has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aemetis has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Aemetis currently holds 417.34 M in liabilities. Aemetis has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Aemetis' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 267.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (46.42 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (580 K). | |
| Aemetis has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Aemetis Full Year 2024 Earnings EPS Beats Expectations, Revenues Lag |
Aemetis Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Aemetis' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aemetis' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aemetis daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aemetis price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aemetis returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aemetis.
| Mean Return | -0.93 | Value At Risk | -7.85 | Potential Upside | 5.58 | Standard Deviation | 4.62 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aemetis historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Aemetis Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Aemetis, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aemetis back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Group One Trading, Lp | 2024-12-31 | 157.7 K | Stifel Financial Corp | 2024-12-31 | 138.8 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 127 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-12-31 | 121.7 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-12-31 | 120.7 K | Lpl Financial Corp | 2024-12-31 | 106.7 K | Pnc Financial Services Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 99.4 K | Gsa Capital Partners Llp | 2024-12-31 | 97.2 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 93.9 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.2 M |
Aemetis Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (64K) | 7.2M | (752K) | (719K) | (826.9K) | (785.5K) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (16.9M) | (47.3M) | (62.0M) | (19.3M) | (17.4M) | (16.5M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 19.3M | 26.7M | 39.2M | 33.1M | 38.1M | 40.0M | |
| Net Income | (36.7M) | (47.1M) | (107.8M) | (46.4M) | (41.8M) | (39.7M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 592K | 7.8M | 7.0M | 6.3M | 7.2M | 7.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 9.3M | 11.6M | 66.0M | 32.2M | 37.1M | 38.9M | |
| Change To Inventory | 2.4M | (2.2M) | 360K | (13.8M) | (12.5M) | (11.8M) | |
| Depreciation | 4.9M | 5.5M | 5.6M | 7.0M | 8.1M | 8.5M | |
| Change Receivables | (963K) | (1.1M) | (94K) | 294K | 264.6K | 277.8K | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.8M | 5.6M | 5.2M | 55.3M | 63.6M | 66.7M | |
| Net Borrowings | 4.4M | (4.3M) | (56.6M) | 41.9M | 37.7M | 39.6M | |
| Investments | (17.3M) | (22.9M) | (31.3M) | (20.7M) | (18.6M) | (19.6M) |
Aemetis Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aemetis or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aemetis' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aemetis stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.82 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Aemetis Volatility Alert
Aemetis exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.09 and kurtosis of 3.82. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aemetis' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aemetis' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Aemetis Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Aemetis' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aemetis' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aemetis and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aemetis or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aemetis' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aemetis by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Aemetis to competition |
| Fundamentals | Aemetis | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | -0.1 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.33) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.29) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 175.57 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 51.15 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.77 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 24.21 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 6.91 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (0.81) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.32 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 267.64 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (580 K) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (40.42 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (46.42 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.56 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.10 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 417.34 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | (3.36) % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.25 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (5.79) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 13.82 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 10.04 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.91) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 13.94 | |
| Beta | 1.48 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 85.94 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 243.41 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (475.4 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (47.99 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 8 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 29.3 M | 7.9 B |
| Net Asset | 243.41 M |
Note: Acquisition by Andrew Foster of 9434 shares of Aemetis at 18.53 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Aemetis Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aemetis . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Aemetis Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Aemetis? Buying financial instruments such as Aemetis Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Aemetis in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Retail Thematic Idea Now
Retail
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Retail theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Retail Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Aemetis Stock Analysis
When running Aemetis' price analysis, check to measure Aemetis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aemetis is operating at the current time. Most of Aemetis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aemetis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aemetis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aemetis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.