Ameresco Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AMRC Stock  USD 10.54  0.54  5.40%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ameresco is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Ameresco buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Ameresco positions.
  
Check out Ameresco Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Ameresco Stock refer to our How to Trade Ameresco Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ameresco and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Ameresco. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Ameresco Buy or Sell Advice

The Ameresco recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ameresco. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ameresco or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ameresco's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AmerescoBuy Ameresco
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Ameresco has a Mean Deviation of 3.69, Standard Deviation of 6.25 and Variance of 39.04
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Ameresco and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Ameresco is not overpriced, please confirm all Ameresco fundamentals, including its current valuation, price to book, cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and gross profit . Given that Ameresco has a price to earning of 59.56 X, we suggest you to validate Ameresco market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Ameresco Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ameresco generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ameresco has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Ameresco Partners with the City of Brockton to Modernize Historic Buildings and Promote Sustainability

Ameresco Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Ameresco's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ameresco's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ameresco daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ameresco price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ameresco returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ameresco.
Mean Return
-1.24
Value At Risk
-7.78
Potential Upside
5.74
Standard Deviation
6.25
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ameresco historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Ameresco Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
179.9 K
Note, although Ameresco's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ameresco Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory660K(232K)(5.4M)581K2.1M2.2M
Change In Cash21.6M(11.8M)62.8M3.8M44.7M46.9M
Free Cash Flow(285.3M)(356.1M)(666.2M)(621.8M)113.3M119.0M
Depreciation42.0M46.6M54.3M65.9M84.2M88.5M
Other Non Cash Items4.7M4.9M4.5M2.7M(34.7M)(33.0M)
Capital Expenditures182.8M183.8M327.9M551.8M4.3M4.1M
Net Income56.9M80.2M98.5M63.9M53.9M39.3M
End Period Cash Flow98.8M87.1M149.9M153.7M198.4M208.3M
Change To Netincome(1.7M)3.6M15.6M22.8M26.2M27.5M
Change Receivables21.6M(118.6M)(24.2M)(16.0M)(14.4M)(15.1M)
Net Borrowings87.1M40.2M238.9M682.9M785.3M824.6M
Investments(132K)(205.3M)(328.4M)(590.9M)(386.6M)(367.3M)

Ameresco Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ameresco or Construction & Engineering sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ameresco's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ameresco stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.69
σ
Overall volatility
6.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Ameresco Volatility Alert

Ameresco is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ameresco's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ameresco's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Ameresco Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Ameresco's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ameresco's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ameresco and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ameresco or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ameresco's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ameresco by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ameresco to competition
FundamentalsAmerescoPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0534-0.31
Return On Asset0.0131-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.15 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding34.54 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders7.97 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.13 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.6 M4.71 M
Price To Earning59.56 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.52 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.31 X11.42 X
Revenue1.77 B9.43 B
Gross Profit256.09 M27.38 B
EBITDA108.75 M3.9 B
Net Income53.94 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents67.55 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.30 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.7 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.79 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.76 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share19.30 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations117.6 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.34 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.07 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.55 X4.89 X
Target Price23.5
Number Of Employees1.51 K18.84 K
Beta2.07-0.15
Market Capitalization553.78 M19.03 B
Total Asset4.16 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings652.56 M9.33 B
Working Capital412.13 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Wisneski Francis V Jr of 1908 shares of Ameresco at 9.23 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Ameresco Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ameresco . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Ameresco Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ameresco? Buying financial instruments such as Ameresco Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Ameresco in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Construction Thematic Idea Now

Construction
Construction Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Construction theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Construction Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Ameresco offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ameresco's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ameresco Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ameresco Stock:
Check out Ameresco Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Ameresco Stock refer to our How to Trade Ameresco Stock guide.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ameresco. If investors know Ameresco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ameresco listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.106
Earnings Share
1.07
Revenue Per Share
33.79
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.207
Return On Assets
0.0131
The market value of Ameresco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ameresco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ameresco's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ameresco's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ameresco's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ameresco's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ameresco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ameresco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ameresco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.