Akebia Ther Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AKBA Stock  USD 2.26  0.57  33.73%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Akebia Ther is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Akebia Ther buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AKBA positions.
  
Check out Akebia Ther Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Akebia Stock refer to our How to Trade Akebia Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Akebia and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Akebia Ther. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute Akebia Ther Buy or Sell Advice

The Akebia recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Akebia Ther. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Akebia Ther or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Akebia Ther's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Akebia TherBuy Akebia Ther
Strong Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Akebia Ther has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.053, Jensen Alpha of 0.5851, Total Risk Alpha of 0.9615, Sortino Ratio of 0.1007 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0946
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Akebia Ther. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Akebia Ther is not overpriced, please confirm all Akebia Ther fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, price to sales, and the relationship between the shares outstanding and price to earning . Please also double-check Akebia Ther number of shares shorted to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Akebia Ther Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Akebia Ther had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 160.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (69.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 129.82 M.
Akebia Ther currently holds about 143.89 M in cash with (40.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.78.
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Akebia Ther Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Akebia Ther's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Akebia Ther's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Akebia Ther daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Akebia Ther price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Akebia Ther returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Akebia Ther.
Mean Return
0.28
Value At Risk
-5.36
Potential Upside
6.86
Standard Deviation
5.51
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Akebia Ther historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Akebia Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd2024-12-31
M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
M
Federated Hermes Inc2024-12-31
914 K
Fmr Inc2024-12-31
747 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
586.7 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-12-31
586.1 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
543.9 K
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-12-31
502.1 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
497.5 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
15.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
10.9 M
Note, although Akebia Ther's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Akebia Ther Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash81.3M(79.3M)(58.7M)(48.6M)9.0M9.4M
Free Cash Flow(110.7M)(253.0M)(73.3M)(23.4M)(40.7M)(42.7M)
Other Non Cash Items24.6M41.0M(34.7M)(1.9M)(16.5M)(15.7M)
Capital Expenditures6.7M317K59K114K33K31.4K
Net Income(383.5M)(282.8M)(92.6M)(51.9M)(69.4M)(72.9M)
End Period Cash Flow231.1M151.8M93.2M44.6M53.6M101.0M
Depreciation33.6M38.0M37.7M41.8M37.5M21.2M
Change To Inventory6.2M(25.8M)19.8M(2.5M)4.2M4.4M
Investments(39.7M)40M(114K)0.0(33K)(31.4K)
Change Receivables(22.2M)12.0M(24.0M)11.7M13.4M14.1M
Net Borrowings(19K)62.7M20.0M(33M)(29.7M)(28.2M)
Change To Netincome15.2M159.8M37.1M46.7M53.7M35.7M

Akebia Ther Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Akebia Ther or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Akebia Ther's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Akebia stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.59
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.87
σ
Overall volatility
5.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Akebia Ther Volatility Alert

Akebia Ther shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Akebia Ther's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Akebia Ther's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Akebia Ther Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Akebia Ther's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Akebia Ther's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Akebia Ther and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Akebia Ther or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Akebia Ther's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Akebia Ther by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Akebia Ther to competition
FundamentalsAkebia TherPeer Average
Return On Equity-5.53-0.31
Return On Asset-0.14-0.14
Profit Margin(0.43) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.31) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation488.86 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding218.18 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.81 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions31.29 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted14.98 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(4.84) X28.72 X
Price To Book4.12 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.08 X11.42 X
Revenue160.18 M9.43 B
Gross Profit129.82 M27.38 B
EBITDA(50.47 M)3.9 B
Net Income(69.41 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents143.89 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.78 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.55 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.15 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.30 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(0.22) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(40.66 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio7.64 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.22) X3.12 X
Target Price7.83
Beta0.94-0.15
Market Capitalization493.09 M19.03 B
Total Asset220.67 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.68 B)9.33 B
Working Capital32.92 M1.48 B
Current Asset141.02 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities11.87 M7.9 B
Note: Disposition of 7144 shares by Steven Burke of Akebia Ther at 1.83 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Akebia Ther Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Akebia . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Akebia Ther Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Akebia Ther? Buying financial instruments such as Akebia Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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When determining whether Akebia Ther offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Akebia Ther's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Akebia Ther Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Akebia Ther Stock:
Check out Akebia Ther Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Akebia Stock refer to our How to Trade Akebia Stock guide.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Akebia Ther. If investors know Akebia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Akebia Ther listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.22)
Revenue Per Share
0.759
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
Return On Assets
(0.14)
Return On Equity
(5.53)
The market value of Akebia Ther is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Akebia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Akebia Ther's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Akebia Ther's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Akebia Ther's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Akebia Ther's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Akebia Ther's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Akebia Ther is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Akebia Ther's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.