Argosy Minerals (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AGY Stock | 0.03 0 3.45% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Argosy Minerals is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Argosy Minerals given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Argosy Minerals, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Argosy Minerals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Argosy and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Argosy Minerals. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Argosy |
Execute Argosy Minerals Buy or Sell Advice
The Argosy recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Argosy Minerals. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Argosy Minerals or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Argosy Minerals' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves totally opposite to the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Argosy Minerals Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Argosy Minerals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Argosy Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Argosy Minerals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Argosy Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 907.62 K. Net Loss for the year was (10.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 111.08 K. | |
| Argosy Minerals has accumulated about 36.61 M in cash with (1.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Argosy Minerals Forward Rate of Return percent 0.00 percent - GuruFocus.com |
Argosy Minerals Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Argosy Minerals' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Argosy Minerals' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Argosy Minerals daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Argosy Minerals price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Argosy Minerals returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Argosy Minerals.
| Mean Return | -0.51 | Value At Risk | -6.98 | Potential Upside | 5.26 | Standard Deviation | 3.69 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Argosy Minerals historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Argosy Minerals Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 3.3M | (3.1M) | 20.2M | 13.5M | (22.8M) | (21.6M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (2.2M) | (1.8M) | (2.0M) | (2.9M) | (5.1M) | (5.4M) | |
| Depreciation | 42.6K | 38.6K | 34.0K | 45.1K | 80.0K | 61.3K | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.3M | 1.7M | (3.3M) | (1.5M) | 7.9M | 8.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.4K | 2.4K | 1.5K | 21.7K | 4.1M | 4.3M | |
| Net Income | (2.4M) | (3.1M) | 2.0M | (175.8K) | (10.6M) | (10.1M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 6.0M | 2.9M | 23.1M | 36.6M | 13.9M | 7.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.1M | 993.7K | 1.7M | (3.4M) | (3.0M) | (2.9M) | |
| Investments | (3.2M) | (1.3M) | (10.0M) | (15.8M) | (21.6M) | (20.5M) |
Argosy Minerals Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Argosy Minerals or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Argosy Minerals' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Argosy stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Argosy Minerals Volatility Alert
Argosy Minerals exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.22 and kurtosis of 0.23. Argosy Minerals is a penny stock. Although Argosy Minerals may be in fact a good investment, many penny stocks are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Argosy Minerals. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Argosy instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Argosy Minerals Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Argosy Minerals' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Argosy Minerals' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Argosy Minerals and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Argosy Minerals or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Argosy Minerals' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Argosy Minerals by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Argosy Minerals to competition |
| Fundamentals | Argosy Minerals | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -1.41 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0204 | -0.14 |
| Operating Margin | (2.15) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 29.66 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.46 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 17.10 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.86 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 2.01 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 44.92 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 907.62 K | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 111.08 K | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (2.5 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (10.62 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 36.61 M | 2.7 B |
| Total Debt | 228.87 K | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.01 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (1.01 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.06) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 0.1 | |
| Beta | 1.33 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 40.77 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 66.65 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (79.4 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 13.85 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 66.65 M |
Argosy Minerals Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Argosy . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 34394.86 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0285 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0283 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0) |
About Argosy Minerals Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Argosy Minerals? Buying financial instruments such as Argosy Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Argosy Stock Analysis
When running Argosy Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Argosy Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Argosy Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Argosy Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Argosy Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Argosy Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Argosy Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.