Argan Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AGX Stock  USD 120.00  6.50  5.73%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Argan Inc is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Argan Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Argan Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Argan Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Argan and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Argan Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Argan Buy or Sell Advice

The Argan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Argan Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Argan Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Argan's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ArganBuy Argan
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Very StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Argan Inc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), Jensen Alpha of (0.15), Total Risk Alpha of 0.4663 and Treynor Ratio of (0.27)
Macroaxis provides advice on Argan Inc to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Argan Inc. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Argan is not overpriced, please confirm all Argan Inc fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, cash per share, beta, as well as the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Argan Inc has a price to earning of 24.72 X, we suggest you to validate Argan Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Argan Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Argan Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Argan Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Argan Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Argan Inc has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Argan, Inc. to Announce Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year-End 2025 Results and Host Conference ...

Argan Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Argan's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Argan's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Argan daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Argan Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Argan returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Argan.
Mean Return
-0.3
Value At Risk
-6.72
Potential Upside
6.51
Standard Deviation
4.61
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Argan historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Argan Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Argan, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Argan Inc back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Polar Capital Holdings Plc2024-12-31
50.1 K
Note, although Argan's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Argan Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash199.3M(16.2M)(176.5M)23.1M26.5M27.9M
Free Cash Flow173.0M27.0M(33.4M)114.1M131.2M137.8M
Depreciation4.6M4.2M3.7M2.4M2.8M2.0M
Other Non Cash Items2.5M14.1M(195K)(1.7M)(1.9M)(1.8M)
Capital Expenditures1.7M1.4M3.4M2.8M3.2M2.0M
Net Income23.8M35.7M34.7M32.4M37.2M39.1M
End Period Cash Flow366.7M350.5M173.9M197.0M226.6M237.9M
Change Receivables(324K)8.5M(480K)(25.0M)(22.5M)(21.4M)
Dividends Paid47.0M15.7M14.0M14.7M16.9M16.9M
Change To Netincome561K11.2M14.0M(288K)(331.2K)(314.6K)
Investments70M(5.0M)(59.8M)(67.6M)(77.7M)(73.9M)

Argan Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Argan or Construction & Engineering sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Argan's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Argan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.15
σ
Overall volatility
4.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Argan Volatility Alert

Argan Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.44 and kurtosis of 3.55. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Argan's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Argan's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Argan Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Argan's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Argan's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Argan and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Argan or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Argan's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Argan by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Argan to competition
FundamentalsArganPeer Average
Return On Equity0.22-0.31
Return On Asset0.0631-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.12 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.06 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding13.58 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders7.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions89.32 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted597.31 K4.71 M
Price To Earning24.72 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.74 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.91 X11.42 X
Revenue573.33 M9.43 B
Gross Profit115.41 M27.38 B
EBITDA38.86 M3.9 B
Net Income32.36 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents173.95 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share22.98 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.32 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.66 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share24.22 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations116.86 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.32 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.80 X3.12 X
Target Price150.0
Number Of Employees1.21 K18.84 K
Beta0.56-0.15
Market Capitalization1.54 B19.03 B
Total Asset598.23 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings225.51 M9.33 B
Working Capital244.92 M1.48 B
Current Asset350.61 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Peter Getsinger of 1757 shares of Argan subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Argan Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Argan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Argan Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Argan Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Argan Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Casinos
Casinos Theme
Companies that are related to providing casino-type services across multiple geographical areas. The Casinos theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Casinos Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Argan Stock Analysis

When running Argan's price analysis, check to measure Argan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Argan is operating at the current time. Most of Argan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Argan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Argan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Argan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.