Playags Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AGS Stock  USD 12.02  0.08  0.67%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding PlayAGS is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell PlayAGS given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for PlayAGS, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out PlayAGS Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy PlayAGS Stock please use our How to Invest in PlayAGS guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as PlayAGS and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. PlayAGS. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute PlayAGS Buy or Sell Advice

The PlayAGS recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on PlayAGS. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in PlayAGS or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute PlayAGS's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell PlayAGSBuy PlayAGS
Strong Hold

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon PlayAGS has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.166, Jensen Alpha of 0.0661, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1069, Sortino Ratio of 0.542 and Treynor Ratio of 2.15
Our trade recommendations tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on PlayAGS and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure PlayAGS is not overpriced, please check all PlayAGS fundamentals, including its net income, target price, and the relationship between the price to book and book value per share . Given that PlayAGS has a number of shares shorted of 673.03 K, we recommend you to check out PlayAGS market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

PlayAGS Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Are Consumer Discretionary Stocks Lagging PlayAGS This Year

PlayAGS Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of PlayAGS's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of PlayAGS's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of PlayAGS daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use PlayAGS price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of PlayAGS returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for PlayAGS.
Mean Return
0.07
Value At Risk
-0.35
Potential Upside
0.52
Standard Deviation
0.35
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of PlayAGS historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

PlayAGS Stock Institutional Investors

The PlayAGS's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase PlayAGS's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Adage Capital Partners Gp Llc2024-12-31
764.9 K
State Street Corp2024-12-31
735.5 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-12-31
684.3 K
Springbok Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
640.3 K
Citigroup Inc2024-12-31
625.4 K
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-12-31
545.8 K
Hsbc Holdings Plc2024-12-31
500.3 K
Gabelli Securities Inc2024-12-31
419.4 K
Gabelli Funds Llc2024-12-31
417.5 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
3.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
2.1 M
Note, although PlayAGS's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

PlayAGS Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory10.1M1.6M(6.3M)4.3M8.8M9.3M
Change In Cash68.5M13.3M(57.1M)13.3M(4.1M)(3.9M)
Free Cash Flow458K26.8M8.5M24.3M54.1M56.8M
Depreciation93.1M80.5M81.9M83.2M78.7M77.6M
Other Non Cash Items9.7M7.7M7.6M4.7M(2.8M)(2.7M)
Capital Expenditures35.7M51.5M69.2M61.9M47.1M50.3M
Net Income(85.4M)(22.6M)(8.0M)428K51.6M54.2M
End Period Cash Flow81.7M95.0M37.9M51.2M47.1M43.3M
Investments(3.6M)1.4M1.9M(61.0M)(71.7M)(68.1M)
Change Receivables(15.0M)16.5M(8.1M)(10.5M)(9.5M)(9.0M)
Net Borrowings5.4M79.4M(8.5M)41.1M37.0M41.4M
Change To Netincome14.3M12.8M17.5M13.5M15.5M11.1M

PlayAGS Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PlayAGS or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PlayAGS's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a PlayAGS stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio 0.49

PlayAGS Volatility Alert

PlayAGS exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.22 and kurtosis of 7.11. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure PlayAGS's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact PlayAGS's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

PlayAGS Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing PlayAGS's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze PlayAGS's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between PlayAGS and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as PlayAGS or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of PlayAGS's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PlayAGS by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare PlayAGS to competition
FundamentalsPlayAGSPeer Average
Return On Equity0.57-0.31
Return On Asset0.0655-0.14
Profit Margin0.13 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.21 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding41.26 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.78 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions81.14 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted673.03 K4.71 M
Price To Earning(33.74) X28.72 X
Price To Book4.37 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.26 X11.42 X
Revenue394.87 M9.43 B
Gross Profit277.34 M27.38 B
EBITDA151.49 M3.9 B
Net Income51.65 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents37.89 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.27 X5.01 X
Total Debt543.51 M5.32 B
Current Ratio2.26 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.74 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations101.25 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.21 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.20 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.29) X4.89 X
Target Price12.5
Number Of Employees91618.84 K
Beta2.38-0.15
Market Capitalization495.93 M19.03 B
Total Asset709.59 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(306.35 M)9.33 B
Working Capital129.83 M1.48 B
Current Asset51.74 M9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 75769 shares by Kimo Akiona of PlayAGS at 9.42 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

PlayAGS Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as PlayAGS . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About PlayAGS Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell PlayAGS? Buying financial instruments such as PlayAGS Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having PlayAGS in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Communication
Communication Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Communication theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Communication Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for PlayAGS Stock Analysis

When running PlayAGS's price analysis, check to measure PlayAGS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PlayAGS is operating at the current time. Most of PlayAGS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PlayAGS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PlayAGS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PlayAGS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.