Agro Phos (India) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AGROPHOS | 42.74 0.70 1.67% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Agro Phos India is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Agro Phos' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Agro Phos Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Agro and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Agro Phos India. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
Agro |
Execute Agro Phos Buy or Sell Advice
The Agro recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Agro Phos India. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Agro Phos India or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Agro Phos' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Agro Phos Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Agro Phos India had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.07 B. Net Loss for the year was (52.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 415.83 M. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Agro Phos India Standalone September 2024 Net Sales at Rs 31.50 crore, down 19.53 percent Y-o-Y - Moneycontrol |
Agro Phos Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Agro Phos' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Agro Phos' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Agro Phos daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Agro Phos India price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Agro Phos returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Agro Phos.
| Mean Return | -0.07 | Value At Risk | -4.94 | Potential Upside | 4.73 | Standard Deviation | 3.03 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Agro Phos historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Agro Phos Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (78.8M) | (24.8M) | (22.6M) | (296.5M) | 273.1M | 286.7M | |
| Change In Cash | (54K) | 1.3M | 8.5M | (9.7M) | (446K) | (423.7K) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 27.8M | 61.5M | 55M | (109.0M) | 13.3M | 14.0M | |
| Depreciation | 11.3M | 11.0M | 12.3M | 15.6M | 17.3M | 10.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 22.2M | 11.0M | (8.8M) | 6.0M | 11.3M | 10.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.5M | 28.7M | 83.8M | 44.2M | 14.9M | 29.1M | |
| Net Income | 44.7M | 35.8M | 70.8M | 71.1M | (52.8M) | (50.2M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.2M | 2.5M | 11M | 1.4M | 907K | 861.7K | |
| Investments | 4.2M | (27.3M) | (12.5M) | (66.9M) | (15.7M) | (16.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (10.0M) | (42.3M) | (11.8M) | 142.8M | 164.3M | 172.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | 27.7M | 15.0M | 3.7M | 27.1M | 24.4M | 20.7M |
Agro Phos Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Agro Phos or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Agro Phos' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Agro stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Agro Phos Volatility Alert
Agro Phos India exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.09 and kurtosis of 5.24. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Agro Phos' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Agro Phos' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Agro Phos Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Agro Phos' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Agro Phos' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Agro Phos and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Agro Phos or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Agro Phos' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Agro Phos by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Agro Phos to competition |
| Fundamentals | Agro Phos | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0206 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.05) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.15 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 20.27 M | 571.82 M |
| Price To Book | 1.80 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.01 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.07 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 415.83 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (20.36 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (52.79 M) | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 287.15 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 23.80 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 28.18 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (2.12) X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 154 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.19 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 866.52 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 987.44 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 207.28 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 194.76 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 987.44 M |
Agro Phos Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Agro . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Agro Phos Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Agro Phos India? Buying financial instruments such as Agro Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Agro Phos in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Consumption Thematic Idea Now
Consumption
Companies that deliver final goods such as cars or clothing for consumption by consumers. The Consumption theme has 19 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumption Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Agro Stock
Agro Phos financial ratios help investors to determine whether Agro Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Agro with respect to the benefits of owning Agro Phos security.