Agilon Health Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AGL Stock | USD 4.05 0.05 1.25% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding agilon health is 'Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Agilon Health's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Agilon Health Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Agilon Stock please use our How to buy in Agilon Stock guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Agilon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. agilon health. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Agilon |
Execute Agilon Health Buy or Sell Advice
The Agilon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on agilon health. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in agilon health or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Agilon Health's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Excited | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Agilon Health Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| agilon health is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| agilon health appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.06 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (260.1 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.84 M. | |
| agilon health has about 497.07 M in cash with (57.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.32. | |
| agilon health has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1883 shares by Girish Venkatachaliah of Agilon Health at 5.23 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Agilon Health Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Agilon Health's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Agilon Health's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Agilon Health daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use agilon health price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Agilon Health returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Agilon Health.
| Mean Return | 1.08 | Value At Risk | -6.87 | Potential Upside | 10.96 | Standard Deviation | 5.15 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Agilon Health historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Agilon Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 6.9 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-12-31 | 4.9 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 4.7 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 4.5 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-12-31 | 3.3 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 3 M | Algert Global Llc | 2024-12-31 | 2.1 M | Tudor Investment Corp Et Al | 2024-12-31 | 1.5 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-12-31 | 1.3 M | Clayton Dubilier & Rice Llc | 2024-12-31 | 100 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 56.2 M |
Agilon Health Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Investments | 22.1M | (75.7M) | (412.2M) | (49.8M) | 139.9M | 146.9M | |
| Change In Cash | (6.5M) | 915.7M | (547.1M) | (393.4M) | 79.5M | 83.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (55.6M) | (161.6M) | (163.5M) | (187.0M) | (71.0M) | (74.6M) | |
| Depreciation | 14.1M | 14.7M | 13.8M | 20.2M | 24.5M | 17.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (17.6M) | 9.8M | (7.2M) | 27.2M | 127.2M | 133.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.4M | 13.4M | 32.7M | 30.8M | 13.3M | 17.7M | |
| Net Income | (60.1M) | (406.8M) | (106.9M) | (262.8M) | (260.1M) | (273.1M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 139.1M | 1.1B | 507.7M | 114.3M | 193.9M | 287.4M |
Agilon Health Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Agilon Health or Health Care Providers & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Agilon Health's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Agilon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.93 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
Agilon Health Volatility Alert
agilon health shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Agilon Health's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Agilon Health's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Agilon Health Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Agilon Health's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Agilon Health's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Agilon Health and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Agilon Health or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Agilon Health's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Agilon Health by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Agilon Health to competition |
| Fundamentals | Agilon Health | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.44 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.1 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.04) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.07) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.31 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 412.3 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.81 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 95.59 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 16.82 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 23.14 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.55 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.28 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 6.06 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 4.84 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (218.19 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (260.1 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 497.07 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.32 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 41.5 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.05 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.65 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.14 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (57.78 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.91 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.61) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.19 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 3.56 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.08 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.68 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.67 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.73 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.59 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 305.77 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 1883 shares by Girish Venkatachaliah of Agilon Health at 5.23 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Agilon Health Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Agilon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Agilon Health Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell agilon health? Buying financial instruments such as Agilon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out Agilon Health Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Agilon Stock please use our How to buy in Agilon Stock guide.You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agilon Health. If investors know Agilon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Agilon Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 11.951 | Earnings Share (0.61) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.442 | Return On Assets |
The market value of agilon health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Agilon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Agilon Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Agilon Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Agilon Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Agilon Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Agilon Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Agilon Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agilon Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.