Aehr Test Systems Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AEHR Stock  USD 9.34  0.56  6.38%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aehr Test Systems is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Aehr Test Systems within the specified time frame.
  
Check out Aehr Test Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aehr and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Aehr Test Systems. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Execute Aehr Test Buy or Sell Advice

The Aehr recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aehr Test Systems. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aehr Test Systems or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aehr Test's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aehr TestBuy Aehr Test
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Aehr Test Systems has a Mean Deviation of 4.32, Standard Deviation of 6.47 and Variance of 41.91
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Aehr Test Systems. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Aehr Test is not overpriced, please confirm all Aehr Test Systems fundamentals, including its cash per share, number of employees, and the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Aehr Test Systems has a price to earning of 70.48 X, we suggest you to validate Aehr Test Systems market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Aehr Test Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Aehr Test Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aehr Test Systems has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Aehr Test Systems is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from newswire.com: Aehr Secures Initial 4.7 Million in Follow-On Production Orders for FOX-CP Systems from Leading Advanced Storage Device Manufacturer

Aehr Test Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aehr Test's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aehr Test's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aehr Test daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aehr Test Systems price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aehr Test returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aehr Test.
Mean Return
-0.13
Value At Risk
-7.91
Potential Upside
7.69
Standard Deviation
6.47
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aehr Test historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aehr Stock Institutional Investors

The Aehr Test's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Aehr Test's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Halter Ferguson Financial Inc2024-12-31
453.5 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
366.2 K
Silvercrest Asset Management Group Llc2024-12-31
362.4 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
280.4 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
250.3 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
215.6 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
205.5 K
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-12-31
201.1 K
Federated Hermes Inc2024-12-31
185.5 K
Fmr Inc2024-12-31
3.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
2.2 M
Note, although Aehr Test's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aehr Test Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(972K)(6.7M)(9.5M)(13.7M)(12.4M)(11.7M)
Change In Cash(851K)26.9M(1.4M)19.1M22.0M23.1M
Free Cash Flow(2.9M)1.1M8.6M1.0M1.2M1.2M
Depreciation310K307K450K1.4M1.2M1.3M
Other Non Cash Items(2.2M)(1.5M)(8.7M)(130K)(117K)(111.2K)
Capital Expenditures227K416K1.4M749K674.1K400.3K
Net Income(2.0M)9.5M14.6M33.2M38.1M40.0M
End Period Cash Flow4.7M31.6M30.2M49.3M56.7M59.5M
Change To Netincome955K(1.3M)1.3M2.3M2.6M2.8M
Investments(227K)(416K)(18.7M)17.3M19.8M20.8M

Aehr Test Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aehr Test or Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aehr Test's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aehr stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.98
σ
Overall volatility
5.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.0048

Aehr Test Volatility Alert

Aehr Test Systems is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aehr Test's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aehr Test's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Aehr Test Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aehr Test's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aehr Test's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aehr Test and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aehr Test or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aehr Test's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aehr Test by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aehr Test to competition
FundamentalsAehr TestPeer Average
Return On Equity0.21-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0018-0.14
Profit Margin0.43 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.11) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation251.13 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding29.71 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders5.06 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions72.01 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted7.23 M4.71 M
Price To Earning70.48 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.25 X9.51 X
Price To Sales5.47 X11.42 X
Revenue66.22 M9.43 B
Gross Profit24.08 M27.38 B
EBITDA11.44 M3.9 B
Net Income33.16 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents30.05 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.32 X5.01 X
Total Debt6.2 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio5.99 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.15 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.76 M971.22 M
Short Ratio8.12 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.75 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth5.92 X4.89 X
Target Price19.0
Number Of Employees11518.84 K
Beta1.93-0.15
Market Capitalization277.51 M19.03 B
Total Asset127.91 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(19.15 M)9.33 B
Working Capital87.34 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 420 shares by Chris Siu of Aehr Test at 8.85 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Aehr Test Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aehr . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aehr Test Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aehr Test Systems? Buying financial instruments such as Aehr Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Aehr Stock Analysis

When running Aehr Test's price analysis, check to measure Aehr Test's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aehr Test is operating at the current time. Most of Aehr Test's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aehr Test's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aehr Test's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aehr Test to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.