Adma Biologics Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ADMA Stock  USD 19.92  0.23  1.17%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding ADMA Biologics is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides ADMA Biologics buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ADMA positions.
  
Check out ADMA Biologics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade ADMA Stock refer to our How to Trade ADMA Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as ADMA and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards ADMA Biologics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute ADMA Biologics Buy or Sell Advice

The ADMA recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ADMA Biologics. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ADMA Biologics or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ADMA Biologics' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ADMA BiologicsBuy ADMA Biologics
Strong Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon ADMA Biologics has a Mean Deviation of 2.97, Semi Deviation of 3.87, Standard Deviation of 4.76, Variance of 22.63, Downside Variance of 18.39 and Semi Variance of 15.0
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on ADMA Biologics and to analyze the company potential to grow in the future. To make sure ADMA Biologics is not overpriced, please confirm all ADMA Biologics fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to book, ebitda, as well as the relationship between the number of shares shorted and revenue . Given that ADMA Biologics has a number of shares shorted of 14.24 M, we suggest you to validate ADMA Biologics market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the future given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

ADMA Biologics Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

ADMA Biologics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 258.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 35.27 M.
ADMA Biologics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from investing.com: ADMA Biologics stock rated Outperform as Mizuho confident in supply expansion and growth

ADMA Biologics Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of ADMA Biologics' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ADMA Biologics' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ADMA Biologics daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ADMA Biologics price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ADMA Biologics returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ADMA Biologics.
Mean Return
0.32
Value At Risk
-5.92
Potential Upside
5.58
Standard Deviation
4.76
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ADMA Biologics historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

ADMA Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
M
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
3.7 M
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
3.6 M
Assenagon Asset Management Sa2024-09-30
3.5 M
Lord, Abbett & Co Llc2024-09-30
3.1 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-06-30
M
Oberweis Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
2.9 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-09-30
2.6 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
2.4 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
18.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
18.1 M
Note, although ADMA Biologics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

ADMA Biologics Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(2.7K)29.2M(4.8M)35.4M(35.2M)(33.4M)
Free Cash Flow(80.0M)(114.7M)(125.9M)(73.4M)3.8M4.0M
Capital Expenditures3.8M12.7M13.5M13.9M5.0M3.4M
Net Income(48.3M)(75.7M)(71.6M)(65.9M)(28.2M)(29.7M)
End Period Cash Flow26.8M55.9M51.1M86.5M51.4M28.3M
Other Non Cash Items1.0M1.6M1.8M12.4M32.6M34.3M
Depreciation3.3M3.9M5.5M7.1M8.3M8.7M
Change To Inventory(34.7M)(28.5M)(43.2M)(38.6M)(9.6M)(10.1M)
Change Receivables(2.1M)(9.8M)(15.3M)13.1M11.8M12.4M
Net Borrowings34.3M13.5M(34.3K)49.0M56.3M59.1M
Change To Netincome2.9M1.8M3.7M15.3M17.6M18.5M
Investments(3.8M)(12.7M)(13.5M)(13.9M)(7.3M)(7.7M)

ADMA Biologics Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ADMA Biologics or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ADMA Biologics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ADMA stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.08
σ
Overall volatility
4.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

ADMA Biologics Volatility Alert

ADMA Biologics shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ADMA Biologics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ADMA Biologics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

ADMA Biologics Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing ADMA Biologics' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ADMA Biologics' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ADMA Biologics and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ADMA Biologics or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ADMA Biologics' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ADMA Biologics by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare ADMA Biologics to competition
FundamentalsADMA BiologicsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.36-0.31
Return On Asset0.2-0.14
Profit Margin0.18 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.33 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.68 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding236.39 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.51 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions90.88 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted14.24 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(1.55) X28.72 X
Price To Book20.07 X9.51 X
Price To Sales12.30 X11.42 X
Revenue258.21 M9.43 B
Gross Profit35.27 M27.38 B
EBITDA5.12 M3.9 B
Net Income(28.24 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents52.42 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.27 X5.01 X
Total Debt141.42 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.32 %48.70 %
Current Ratio7.94 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.98 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations8.8 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.61 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.27 X3.12 X
Target Price23.45
Number Of Employees62418.84 K
Beta0.65-0.15
Market Capitalization4.71 B19.03 B
Total Asset329.18 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(506.26 M)9.33 B
Working Capital207.21 M1.48 B
Current Asset21.29 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Adam Grossman of 870950 shares of ADMA Biologics at 5.4 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

ADMA Biologics Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ADMA . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About ADMA Biologics Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell ADMA Biologics? Buying financial instruments such as ADMA Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having ADMA Biologics in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether ADMA Biologics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ADMA Biologics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Adma Biologics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Adma Biologics Stock:
Check out ADMA Biologics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade ADMA Stock refer to our How to Trade ADMA Stock guide.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ADMA Biologics. If investors know ADMA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ADMA Biologics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
14
Earnings Share
0.27
Revenue Per Share
1.661
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.781
Return On Assets
0.1989
The market value of ADMA Biologics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ADMA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ADMA Biologics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ADMA Biologics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ADMA Biologics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ADMA Biologics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ADMA Biologics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ADMA Biologics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ADMA Biologics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.