Astra Agro (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AALI Stock  IDR 5,750  75.00  1.32%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Astra Agro Lestari is 'Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Astra Agro's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Astra Agro Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Astra and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Astra Agro Lestari. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Astra Agro Buy or Sell Advice

The Astra recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Astra Agro Lestari. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Astra Agro Lestari or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Astra Agro's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Astra AgroBuy Astra Agro
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Astra Agro Lestari has a Mean Deviation of 1.12, Standard Deviation of 1.63 and Variance of 2.67
Macroaxis provides advice on Astra Agro Lestari to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Astra Agro Lestari. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Astra Agro is not overpriced, please confirm all Astra Agro Lestari fundamentals, including its revenue, ebitda, and the relationship between the price to sales and gross profit .

Astra Agro Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Astra Agro Lestari generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Astra Agro Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Astra Agro's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Astra Agro's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Astra Agro daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Astra Agro Lestari price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Astra Agro returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Astra Agro.
Mean Return
-0.1
Value At Risk
-2.54
Potential Upside
3.17
Standard Deviation
1.63
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Astra Agro historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Astra Agro Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Astra Agro or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Astra Agro's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Astra stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
1.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.0011

Astra Agro Volatility Alert

Astra Agro Lestari exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.35 and kurtosis of 3.66. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Astra Agro's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Astra Agro's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Astra Agro Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Astra Agro's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Astra Agro's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Astra Agro and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Astra Agro or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Astra Agro's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Astra Agro by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Astra Agro to competition
FundamentalsAstra AgroPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0847-0.31
Return On Asset0.0505-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation17.71 T16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.92 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders79.69 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions3.13 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.73 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.68 X11.42 X
Revenue24.32 T9.43 B
Gross Profit4.88 T27.38 B
EBITDA3.44 T3.9 B
Net Income1.97 T570.98 M
Total Debt2.13 T5.32 B
Book Value Per Share10,968 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations4.9 T971.22 M
Earnings Per Share892.65 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.29 X4.89 X
Target Price11449.4
Number Of Employees28.46 K18.84 K
Beta0.95-0.15
Market Capitalization15.73 T19.03 B
Total Asset30.4 T29.47 B
Z Score4.28.72
Annual Yield0.05 %
Net Asset30.4 T
Last Dividend Paid444.0

Astra Agro Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Astra . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Astra Agro Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Astra Agro Lestari? Buying financial instruments such as Astra Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Astra Agro in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Munis Funds
Munis Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in fixed income securities issued by states, cities, and towns as well as other public entities. The Munis Funds theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Munis Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Astra Stock

Astra Agro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Astra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Astra with respect to the benefits of owning Astra Agro security.