Astra Agro (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AALI Stock | IDR 5,750 75.00 1.32% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Astra Agro Lestari is 'Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Astra Agro's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Astra Agro Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Astra and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Astra Agro Lestari. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Astra |
Execute Astra Agro Buy or Sell Advice
The Astra recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Astra Agro Lestari. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Astra Agro Lestari or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Astra Agro's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Astra Agro Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Astra Agro Lestari generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Astra Agro Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Astra Agro's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Astra Agro's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Astra Agro daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Astra Agro Lestari price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Astra Agro returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Astra Agro.
| Mean Return | -0.1 | Value At Risk | -2.54 | Potential Upside | 3.17 | Standard Deviation | 1.63 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Astra Agro historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Astra Agro Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Astra Agro or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Astra Agro's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Astra stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0011 |
Astra Agro Volatility Alert
Astra Agro Lestari exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.35 and kurtosis of 3.66. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Astra Agro's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Astra Agro's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Astra Agro Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Astra Agro's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Astra Agro's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Astra Agro and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Astra Agro or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Astra Agro's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Astra Agro by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Astra Agro to competition |
| Fundamentals | Astra Agro | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0847 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0505 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 17.71 T | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.92 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 79.69 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 3.13 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 0.73 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.68 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 24.32 T | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 4.88 T | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.44 T | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.97 T | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 2.13 T | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 10,968 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 4.9 T | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 892.65 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.29 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 11449.4 | |
| Number Of Employees | 28.46 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.95 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 15.73 T | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 30.4 T | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 4.2 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.05 % | |
| Net Asset | 30.4 T | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 444.0 |
Astra Agro Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Astra . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Astra Agro Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Astra Agro Lestari? Buying financial instruments such as Astra Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Astra Stock
Astra Agro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Astra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Astra with respect to the benefits of owning Astra Agro security.