China National (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| 688128 Stock | 19.87 0.13 0.66% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding China National Electric is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides China National buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 688128 positions.
Check out China National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as China and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards China National Electric. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
China |
Execute China National Buy or Sell Advice
The China recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on China National Electric. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in China National Electric or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute China National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
China National Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| China National generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| China National has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
China National Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of China National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of China National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of China National daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use China National Electric price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of China National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for China National.
| Mean Return | 0.29 | Value At Risk | -4 | Potential Upside | 6.89 | Standard Deviation | 3.97 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of China National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
China National Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (63.0M) | (408.7M) | (683.2M) | (932.5M) | (839.3M) | (797.3M) | |
| Investments | (74.2M) | (11.1M) | 1.7M | (195.6M) | (224.9M) | (236.1M) | |
| Change In Cash | 49.7M | (179.4M) | 371.0M | (106.6M) | (95.9M) | (91.1M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 15.5M | 3.6M | (27.0M) | (25.8M) | (29.7M) | (31.1M) | |
| Depreciation | 68.6M | 100.4M | 109.0M | 133.4M | 153.5M | 90.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 124.1M | 123.9M | 142.7M | 162.7M | 146.4M | 114.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 162.2M | 146.6M | 182.1M | 224.5M | 258.2M | 149.3M | |
| Net Income | 282.7M | 315.1M | 363.3M | 409.0M | 470.4M | 284.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 706.8M | 527.4M | 898.5M | 559.3M | 643.2M | 564.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 44.1M | (4.5M) | (293.4K) | 34.2M | 39.3M | 41.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 218.6M | (38.5M) | 523.5M | 69.9M | 80.4M | 76.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 7.9M | 11.3M | 11.6M | (5.4M) | (4.8M) | (4.6M) |
China National Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to China National or Electrical Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that China National's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a China stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
China National Volatility Alert
China National Electric shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure China National's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact China National's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.China National Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing China National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze China National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between China National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as China National or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of China National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare China National to competition |
| Fundamentals | China National | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0352 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.10 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.13 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 7.2 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 404.5 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 81.20 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 1.23 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 2.60 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.82 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.17 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.08 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 520.78 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 409.04 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 34.92 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 7.59 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 400.05 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.09 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 3.08 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.16 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 7.99 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 7.32 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.01 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.77 B | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 7.32 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.45 |
China National Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as China . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About China National Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell China National Electric? Buying financial instruments such as China Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in China Stock
China National financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China National security.