Hunan Oil (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

603319 Stock   19.89  0.44  2.26%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Hunan Oil Pump is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Hunan Oil buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 603319 positions.
  
Check out Hunan Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hunan and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Hunan Oil Pump. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Hunan Oil Buy or Sell Advice

The Hunan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hunan Oil Pump. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hunan Oil Pump or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hunan Oil's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Hunan OilBuy Hunan Oil
Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Hunan Oil Pump has a Mean Deviation of 3.19, Semi Deviation of 3.91, Standard Deviation of 4.16, Variance of 17.31, Downside Variance of 19.43 and Semi Variance of 15.32
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Hunan Oil and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Hunan Oil Pump is not overpriced, please check out all Hunan Oil fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to book, and the relationship between the shares outstanding and shares owned by institutions .

Hunan Oil Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Hunan Oil Pump had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Hunan Oil Pump is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Hunan Oil Pump Co., Ltd. agreed to acquire 5 percent stake in Longway.AI from Xu Jingxian for CNY 0.47 million. - Marketscreener.com

Hunan Oil Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Hunan Oil's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hunan Oil's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hunan Oil daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hunan Oil Pump price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hunan Oil returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hunan Oil.
Mean Return
0.45
Value At Risk
-8.22
Potential Upside
8.06
Standard Deviation
4.16
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hunan Oil historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Hunan Oil Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Dividends Paid58.5M80.5M80.1M73.2M84.2M46.9M
Capital Expenditures144.4M219.9M242.4M263.2M302.7M317.8M
Net Borrowings206.8M740.0K(51.7M)65.9M75.8M51.6M
Change To Netincome25.2M19.8M12.2M38.8M44.6M46.8M
Change To Inventory(11.1M)(122.7M)(27.5M)(15.5M)(13.9M)(14.6M)
Investments(9.3M)(204.7M)80M(137.4M)(123.7M)(117.5M)
Change In Cash353.6M(361.2M)52.6M(75.3M)(67.7M)(64.4M)
Depreciation73.3M89.4M96.6M107.6M123.7M76.9M
Net Income166.8M190.8M169.6M225.7M259.6M152.5M
End Period Cash Flow490.5M129.3M181.9M174.8M201.1M196.4M
Free Cash Flow(9.2M)(78.4M)(104.3M)(124.9M)(112.4M)(106.8M)
Other Non Cash Items33.9M32.7M20.9M18.5M21.2M22.3M

Hunan Oil Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hunan Oil or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hunan Oil's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hunan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
4.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Hunan Oil Volatility Alert

Hunan Oil Pump shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hunan Oil's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hunan Oil's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Hunan Oil Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Hunan Oil's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hunan Oil's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hunan Oil and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hunan Oil or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hunan Oil's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hunan Oil by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Hunan Oil to competition
FundamentalsHunan OilPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.044-0.14
Profit Margin0.10 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.15 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.74 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding220.14 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders36.79 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions3.91 %39.21 %
Price To Book2.26 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.11 X11.42 X
Revenue1.91 B9.43 B
Gross Profit404.27 M27.38 B
EBITDA337.02 M3.9 B
Net Income225.75 M570.98 M
Total Debt272.34 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share9.05 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations205.2 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share1.00 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees2.93 K18.84 K
Beta0.22-0.15
Market Capitalization4.28 B19.03 B
Total Asset3 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings970.19 M9.33 B
Working Capital658.67 M1.48 B
Net Asset3 B
Last Dividend Paid0.4

Hunan Oil Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hunan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Hunan Oil Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Hunan Oil Pump? Buying financial instruments such as Hunan Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Hunan Stock

Hunan Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hunan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hunan with respect to the benefits of owning Hunan Oil security.