Shanghai Jinfeng (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

600616 Stock   5.94  0.06  1.02%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Shanghai Jinfeng Wine is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Shanghai Jinfeng buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 600616 positions.
  
Check out Shanghai Jinfeng Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Shanghai and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Shanghai Jinfeng Wine. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Shanghai Jinfeng Buy or Sell Advice

The Shanghai recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Shanghai Jinfeng Wine. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Shanghai Jinfeng Wine or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Shanghai Jinfeng's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Shanghai JinfengBuy Shanghai Jinfeng
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Shanghai Jinfeng Wine has a Mean Deviation of 2.02, Semi Deviation of 2.3, Standard Deviation of 2.84, Variance of 8.05, Downside Variance of 8.07 and Semi Variance of 5.29
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Shanghai Jinfeng. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Shanghai Jinfeng Wine is not overpriced, please validate all Shanghai Jinfeng fundamentals, including its current valuation, shares owned by insiders, and the relationship between the operating margin and shares outstanding .

Shanghai Jinfeng Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Shanghai Jinfeng has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Shanghai Jinfeng generates negative cash flow from operations
About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Does Shanghai Jinfeng Wine Have A Healthy Balance Sheet - Simply Wall St

Shanghai Jinfeng Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Shanghai Jinfeng's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Shanghai Jinfeng's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Shanghai Jinfeng daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Shanghai Jinfeng Wine price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Shanghai Jinfeng returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Shanghai Jinfeng.
Mean Return
0.49
Value At Risk
-3.64
Potential Upside
5.54
Standard Deviation
2.84
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Shanghai Jinfeng historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Shanghai Jinfeng Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Dividends Paid2.0M17.5M21.9M21.8M21.6M34.6M
Capital Expenditures37.0M19.5M15.7M12.1M8.9M8.5M
Net Income29.4M12.2M(12.8M)5.2M104.5M65.1M
Change To Inventory15.9M(10.3M)15.0M29.8M29.0M27.6M
Investments5.9M111.8M(140.6M)(46.6M)575.8K604.6K
Change In Cash70.3M101.2M(120.4M)28.3M(32.6M)(34.2M)
Depreciation50.6M50.6M52.8M50.1M50.0M54.8M
Change To Netincome100.9M6.7M(24.8M)(7.0M)(6.3M)(6.0M)
End Period Cash Flow305.4M406.6M286.2M314.5M281.9M245.3M
Free Cash Flow65.1M(46.7M)52.4M89.9M(12.1M)(11.5M)
Other Non Cash Items2.7M2.9M5.4M5.1M4.8M4.3M

Shanghai Jinfeng Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Shanghai Jinfeng or Beverages sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Shanghai Jinfeng's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Shanghai stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.48
σ
Overall volatility
2.95
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Shanghai Jinfeng Volatility Alert

Shanghai Jinfeng Wine currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.12 and Jensen Alpha of 0.54. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Shanghai Jinfeng's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Shanghai Jinfeng's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Shanghai Jinfeng Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Shanghai Jinfeng's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Shanghai Jinfeng's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Shanghai Jinfeng and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Shanghai Jinfeng or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Shanghai Jinfeng's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shanghai Jinfeng by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Shanghai Jinfeng to competition
FundamentalsShanghai JinfengPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.022-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0183-0.14
Profit Margin(0.08) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.01) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.15 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding669 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders42.30 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions1.50 %39.21 %
Price To Book2.06 X9.51 X
Price To Sales7.02 X11.42 X
Revenue572.81 M9.43 B
Gross Profit267.09 M27.38 B
EBITDA(23.89 M)3.9 B
Net Income104.54 M570.98 M
Total Debt645.56 K5.32 B
Book Value Per Share2.60 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(3.23 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.06) X3.12 X
Target Price6.9
Beta1.02-0.15
Market Capitalization3.97 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.32 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings879.13 M9.33 B
Working Capital1.45 B1.48 B
Net Asset2.32 B
Last Dividend Paid0.05

Shanghai Jinfeng Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Shanghai . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Shanghai Jinfeng Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Shanghai Jinfeng Wine? Buying financial instruments such as Shanghai Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Shanghai Jinfeng in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Drugs Theme
Companies involved in medical and pharmaceutical drug research, manufacturing, and delivery. The Drugs theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Drugs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Shanghai Stock

Shanghai Jinfeng financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shanghai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shanghai with respect to the benefits of owning Shanghai Jinfeng security.