Guanghui Energy (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

600256 Stock   6.49  0.02  0.31%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Guanghui Energy Co is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Guanghui Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 600256 positions.
  
Check out Guanghui Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Guanghui and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Guanghui Energy Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Guanghui Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Guanghui recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Guanghui Energy Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Guanghui Energy Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Guanghui Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Guanghui EnergyBuy Guanghui Energy
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Guanghui Energy Co has a Mean Deviation of 1.64, Semi Deviation of 1.89, Standard Deviation of 2.33, Variance of 5.45, Downside Variance of 4.11 and Semi Variance of 3.56
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Guanghui Energy. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Guanghui Energy Co is not overpriced, please check out all Guanghui Energy fundamentals, including its profit margin, current valuation, shares owned by insiders, as well as the relationship between the operating margin and shares outstanding .

Guanghui Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Guanghui Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Guanghui Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Guanghui Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Guanghui Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Guanghui Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Guanghui Energy Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Guanghui Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Guanghui Energy.
Mean Return
0.09
Value At Risk
-3.53
Potential Upside
4.53
Standard Deviation
2.33
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Guanghui Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Guanghui Energy Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Dividends Paid1.1B1.2B3.6B6.0B6.9B7.3B
Capital Expenditures3.1B3.4B2.0B2.1B2.4B2.4B
Net Income1.3B5.0B11.3B5.2B5.9B6.2B
Change To Inventory(347.6M)(714.0M)109.5M168.4M151.6M159.1M
Investments(162.0M)331.6M(173.3M)(976.4M)(1.1B)(1.1B)
Change In Cash646.4M(138.3M)1.9B185.0M212.8M173.8M
Net Borrowings1.9B1.5B603.8M(4.7B)(4.2B)(4.0B)
Depreciation1.5B1.8B1.8B2.0B2.3B1.6B
Change To Netincome1.3B1.2B1.7B1.2B1.3B1.2B
End Period Cash Flow2.1B1.9B3.9B4.1B4.7B2.7B
Free Cash Flow1.5B2.6B8.2B4.5B5.2B3.4B
Other Non Cash Items1.0B1.4B1.1B962.6M1.1B1.2B

Guanghui Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Guanghui Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Guanghui Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Guanghui stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
1.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Guanghui Energy Volatility Alert

Guanghui Energy Co currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.03 and Jensen Alpha of 0.08. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Guanghui Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Guanghui Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Guanghui Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Guanghui Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Guanghui Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Guanghui Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Guanghui Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Guanghui Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guanghui Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Guanghui Energy to competition
FundamentalsGuanghui EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.078-0.31
Return On Asset0.0495-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.10 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation59.16 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding6.57 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders35.80 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions14.20 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.61 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.11 X11.42 X
Revenue61.48 B9.43 B
Gross Profit16.75 B27.38 B
EBITDA6.74 B3.9 B
Net Income5.17 B570.98 M
Total Debt10.44 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share4.09 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations6.6 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.36 X3.12 X
Target Price9.02
Number Of Employees6.49 K18.84 K
Beta0.16-0.15
Market Capitalization42.48 B19.03 B
Total Asset58.56 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings19.92 B9.33 B
Working Capital(8.41 B)1.48 B
Net Asset58.56 B
Last Dividend Paid0.7

Guanghui Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Guanghui . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Guanghui Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Guanghui Energy Co? Buying financial instruments such as Guanghui Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Guanghui Stock

Guanghui Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guanghui Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guanghui with respect to the benefits of owning Guanghui Energy security.