Jiangsu Changhai (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

300196 Stock   10.27  0.33  3.11%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Jiangsu Changhai Compos is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Jiangsu Changhai buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 300196 positions.
  
Check out Jiangsu Changhai Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Jiangsu and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Jiangsu Changhai Compos. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Jiangsu Changhai Buy or Sell Advice

The Jiangsu recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Jiangsu Changhai Compos. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Jiangsu Changhai Compos or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Jiangsu Changhai's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Jiangsu ChanghaiBuy Jiangsu Changhai
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Jiangsu Changhai Compos has a Mean Deviation of 1.96, Semi Deviation of 2.79, Standard Deviation of 3.16, Variance of 10.02, Downside Variance of 8.6 and Semi Variance of 7.8
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Jiangsu Changhai and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Jiangsu Changhai Compos is not overpriced, please check out all Jiangsu Changhai fundamentals, including its return on asset, operating margin, shares outstanding, as well as the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

Jiangsu Changhai Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Jiangsu Changhai generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Jiangsu Changhai Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Jiangsu Changhai's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Jiangsu Changhai's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Jiangsu Changhai daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Jiangsu Changhai Compos price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Jiangsu Changhai returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Jiangsu Changhai.
Mean Return
0.07
Value At Risk
-3.11
Potential Upside
5.20
Standard Deviation
3.16
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Jiangsu Changhai historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Jiangsu Changhai Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Dividends Paid67.7M42.8M65.0M99.9M114.9M120.7M
Capital Expenditures267.5M1.1B786.1M685.4M788.3M827.7M
Net Income270.7M572.4M817.3M296.1M340.5M253.3M
Change To Inventory17.7M(54.8M)(28.2M)(32.0M)(28.8M)(27.4M)
Investments47.2M(122.4M)133.5M(774.9M)(697.4M)(662.5M)
Change In Cash621.4M(529.9M)206.8M271.7M312.5M328.1M
Net Borrowings(115.5M)500.5M(26.4M)158.7M182.5M191.6M
Depreciation152.2M154.3M192.1M220.2M253.2M161.9M
Change To Netincome10.5M26.1M(65.6M)(146.2M)(131.5M)(125.0M)
End Period Cash Flow1.2B713.8M920.6M1.2B1.4B854.1M
Free Cash Flow165.9M(494.9M)(224.5M)34.0M30.6M32.1M
Other Non Cash Items37.7M21.4M(18.2M)31.1M28.0M29.4M

Jiangsu Changhai Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Jiangsu Changhai or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Jiangsu Changhai's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Jiangsu stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
2.50
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Jiangsu Changhai Volatility Alert

Jiangsu Changhai Compos currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.01 and Jensen Alpha of 0.05. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Jiangsu Changhai's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Jiangsu Changhai's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Jiangsu Changhai Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Jiangsu Changhai's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Jiangsu Changhai's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Jiangsu Changhai and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Jiangsu Changhai or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Jiangsu Changhai's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jiangsu Changhai by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Jiangsu Changhai to competition
FundamentalsJiangsu ChanghaiPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0465-0.31
Return On Asset0.0219-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.99 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding408.72 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders56.18 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions11.32 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.92 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.66 X11.42 X
Revenue2.61 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.01 B27.38 B
EBITDA471.62 M3.9 B
Net Income296.08 M570.98 M
Total Debt37.12 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share11.40 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations719.44 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.52 X3.12 X
Target Price14.05
Number Of Employees2.58 K18.84 K
Beta1.01-0.15
Market Capitalization4.2 B19.03 B
Total Asset6.31 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.85 B9.33 B
Working Capital2 B1.48 B
Annual Yield0.01 %
Net Asset6.31 B
Last Dividend Paid0.15

Jiangsu Changhai Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Jiangsu . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Jiangsu Changhai Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Jiangsu Changhai Compos? Buying financial instruments such as Jiangsu Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Diversified Assets Theme
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Other Information on Investing in Jiangsu Stock

Jiangsu Changhai financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiangsu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiangsu with respect to the benefits of owning Jiangsu Changhai security.