Jiamei Food (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

002969 Stock   3.51  0.10  2.93%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Jiamei Food Packaging is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Jiamei Food buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 002969 positions.
  
Check out Jiamei Food Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Jiamei and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Jiamei Food Packaging. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Jiamei Food Buy or Sell Advice

The Jiamei recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Jiamei Food Packaging. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Jiamei Food Packaging or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Jiamei Food's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Jiamei FoodBuy Jiamei Food
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Relatively riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Jiamei Food Packaging has a Mean Deviation of 1.59, Semi Deviation of 2.13, Standard Deviation of 2.28, Variance of 5.18, Downside Variance of 6.97 and Semi Variance of 4.56
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Jiamei Food. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Jiamei Food Packaging is not overpriced, please check out all Jiamei Food fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares outstanding, and the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

Jiamei Food Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Jiamei Food Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Jiamei Food's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Jiamei Food's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Jiamei Food daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Jiamei Food Packaging price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Jiamei Food returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Jiamei Food.
Mean Return
0.40
Value At Risk
-2.68
Potential Upside
3.10
Standard Deviation
2.28
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Jiamei Food historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Jiamei Food Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(50.2M)(89.3M)(178.0M)21.6M86.8M91.1M
Change In Cash145.2M(118.7M)62.9M(72.5M)(126.7M)(120.3M)
Net Borrowings(514.2M)(231.2M)(387.1M)55.9M50.3M52.8M
Depreciation153.8M157.5M171.8M179.4M201.8M179.2M
Dividends Paid45.8M34.8M20.6M20.4M21.3M20.2M
Capital Expenditures170.2M122.4M325.5M504.1M304.9M280.4M
Net Income171.9M34.5M163.9M17.0M154.3M102.0M
End Period Cash Flow330.0M211.3M274.2M201.7M75.0M71.3M
Change To Netincome52.9M54.0M53.1M61.5M55.4M52.5M
Free Cash Flow151.5M53.4M(6.5M)(181.5M)50.8M57.0M
Other Non Cash Items62.5M44.8M48.3M62.2M60.6M48.3M

Jiamei Food Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Jiamei Food or Containers & Packaging sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Jiamei Food's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Jiamei stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.3
σ
Overall volatility
2.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Jiamei Food Volatility Alert

Jiamei Food Packaging currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.11 and Jensen Alpha of 0.43. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Jiamei Food's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Jiamei Food's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Jiamei Food Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Jiamei Food's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Jiamei Food's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Jiamei Food and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Jiamei Food or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Jiamei Food's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jiamei Food by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Jiamei Food to competition
FundamentalsJiamei FoodPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0714-0.31
Return On Asset0.0412-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.94 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding959.04 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders63.96 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions1.77 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.45 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.11 X11.42 X
Revenue3.15 B9.43 B
Gross Profit263.6 M27.38 B
EBITDA483.79 M3.9 B
Net Income154.3 M570.98 M
Total Debt130.44 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share2.43 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations355.71 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.18 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees2.86 K18.84 K
Beta0.21-0.15
Market Capitalization3.36 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.37 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings641.45 M9.33 B
Working Capital512.65 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.01 %
Net Asset4.37 B
Last Dividend Paid0.045

Jiamei Food Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Jiamei . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Jiamei Food Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Jiamei Food Packaging? Buying financial instruments such as Jiamei Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Jiamei Stock

Jiamei Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiamei Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiamei with respect to the benefits of owning Jiamei Food security.