Hainan Development (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| 002163 Stock | 8.33 0.62 6.93% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Hainan Development Holdings is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Hainan Development buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 002163 positions.
Check out Hainan Development Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hainan and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Hainan Development Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Hainan |
Execute Hainan Development Buy or Sell Advice
The Hainan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hainan Development Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hainan Development Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hainan Development's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Hainan Development Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Hainan Development had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Hainan Development Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Hainan Development's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hainan Development's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hainan Development daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hainan Development Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hainan Development returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hainan Development.
| Mean Return | 0.47 | Value At Risk | -6.93 | Potential Upside | 10.01 | Standard Deviation | 4.83 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hainan Development historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Hainan Development Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditures | 63.9M | 32.2M | 36.3M | 40.2M | 36.1M | 34.3M | |
| Net Income | 149.6M | 104.3M | (144.6M) | 91.6M | 82.4M | 86.5M | |
| Dividends Paid | 50.7M | 37.8M | 32.8M | 21.8M | 19.7M | 18.7M | |
| Change To Inventory | 6.3M | (40.2M) | 18.3M | (63.3M) | (57.0M) | (54.1M) | |
| Change In Cash | (73.2M) | (15.3M) | 124.6M | 203.5M | 234.0M | 245.7M | |
| Net Borrowings | (239.1M) | (224.6M) | 72.6M | (346.7M) | (312.0M) | (296.4M) | |
| Depreciation | 116.0M | 138.6M | 146.5M | 124.7M | 112.2M | 128.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 699.2M | 683.9M | 808.5M | 1.0B | 1.2B | 755.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | 163.7M | 80.0M | (107.4M) | 81.7M | 73.5M | 52.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 265.2M | 18.9M | (46.7M) | 98.2M | 88.3M | 83.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 54.9M | 47.4M | 42.8M | 30.0M | 27.0M | 25.7M |
Hainan Development Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hainan Development or Construction & Engineering sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hainan Development's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hainan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Hainan Development Volatility Alert
Hainan Development Holdings exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hainan Development's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hainan Development's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Hainan Development Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Hainan Development's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hainan Development's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hainan Development and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hainan Development or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hainan Development's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hainan Development by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Hainan Development to competition |
| Fundamentals | Hainan Development | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.24 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0052 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.07) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.04) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 7.17 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 844.96 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 36.89 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 4.39 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 5.80 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.72 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.18 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 259.74 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 49.79 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 91.57 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 468.61 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.44 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 138.32 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.34) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 13.25 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.56 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.75 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 7.04 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 6.41 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (448.66 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (63.62 M) | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 6.41 B |
Hainan Development Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hainan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Hainan Development Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Hainan Development Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Hainan Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Other Information on Investing in Hainan Stock
Hainan Development financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hainan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hainan with respect to the benefits of owning Hainan Development security.