INDOFOOD AGRI (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.2
| ZVF Stock | EUR 0.20 0.01 4.76% |
INDOFOOD |
INDOFOOD AGRI Target Price Odds to finish over 0.2
The tendency of INDOFOOD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.20 | 90 days | 0.20 | about 90.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of INDOFOOD AGRI to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.39 (This INDOFOOD AGRI RES probability density function shows the probability of INDOFOOD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon INDOFOOD AGRI has a beta of 0.45. This usually means as returns on the market go up, INDOFOOD AGRI average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding INDOFOOD AGRI RES will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally INDOFOOD AGRI RES has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. INDOFOOD AGRI Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for INDOFOOD AGRI
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INDOFOOD AGRI RES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.INDOFOOD AGRI Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. INDOFOOD AGRI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the INDOFOOD AGRI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold INDOFOOD AGRI RES, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of INDOFOOD AGRI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
INDOFOOD AGRI Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of INDOFOOD AGRI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for INDOFOOD AGRI RES can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| INDOFOOD AGRI RES generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| INDOFOOD AGRI RES has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
INDOFOOD AGRI Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of INDOFOOD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential INDOFOOD AGRI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. INDOFOOD AGRI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 7.2 T |
INDOFOOD AGRI Technical Analysis
INDOFOOD AGRI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. INDOFOOD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of INDOFOOD AGRI RES. In general, you should focus on analyzing INDOFOOD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
INDOFOOD AGRI Predictive Forecast Models
INDOFOOD AGRI's time-series forecasting models is one of many INDOFOOD AGRI's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary INDOFOOD AGRI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about INDOFOOD AGRI RES
Checking the ongoing alerts about INDOFOOD AGRI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for INDOFOOD AGRI RES help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| INDOFOOD AGRI RES generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| INDOFOOD AGRI RES has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Other Information on Investing in INDOFOOD Stock
INDOFOOD AGRI financial ratios help investors to determine whether INDOFOOD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INDOFOOD with respect to the benefits of owning INDOFOOD AGRI security.