Waterstone Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.73
| WSBF Stock | USD 15.09 0.03 0.20% |
Closest to current price Waterstone long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Waterstone |
Waterstone Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 14.73
The tendency of Waterstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 14.73 in 90 days |
| 15.09 | 90 days | 14.73 | about 62.83 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Waterstone Financial to stay above $ 14.73 in 90 days from now is about 62.83 (This Waterstone Financial probability density function shows the probability of Waterstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Waterstone Financial price to stay between $ 14.73 and its current price of $15.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.65 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.54 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Waterstone Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Waterstone Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Waterstone Financial Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Waterstone Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Waterstone Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Waterstone Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Waterstone Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Waterstone Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Waterstone Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Waterstone Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Waterstone Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Waterstone Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Waterstone Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Waterstone Financial currently holds about 103.14 M in cash with (27.58 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.83. | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Waterstone Financial paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Sell Stephen Schmidt Sells Shares of Waterstone Financial Inc |
Waterstone Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Waterstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Waterstone Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Waterstone Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36.4 M |
Waterstone Financial Technical Analysis
Waterstone Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Waterstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Waterstone Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Waterstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Waterstone Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Waterstone Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Waterstone Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Waterstone Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Waterstone Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Waterstone Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Waterstone Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Waterstone Financial currently holds about 103.14 M in cash with (27.58 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.83. | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Waterstone Financial paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Sell Stephen Schmidt Sells Shares of Waterstone Financial Inc |
Check out Waterstone Financial Backtesting, Waterstone Financial Valuation, Waterstone Financial Correlation, Waterstone Financial Hype Analysis, Waterstone Financial Volatility, Waterstone Financial History as well as Waterstone Financial Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Waterstone Stock please use our How to Invest in Waterstone Financial guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Waterstone Financial. If investors know Waterstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Waterstone Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.61 | Dividend Share 0.55 | Earnings Share 0.72 | Revenue Per Share 7.081 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.02 |
The market value of Waterstone Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Waterstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Waterstone Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Waterstone Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Waterstone Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Waterstone Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Waterstone Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Waterstone Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Waterstone Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.