William Penn Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.86
| WMPN Stock | USD 12.13 0.01 0.08% |
William |
William Penn Target Price Odds to finish over 15.86
The tendency of William Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 15.86 or more in 90 days |
| 12.13 | 90 days | 15.86 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of William Penn to move over $ 15.86 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This William Penn Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of William Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of William Penn Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 12.13 and $ 15.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.22 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days William Penn Bancorp has a beta of -0.0746. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding William Penn are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, William Penn Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally William Penn Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0239, implying that it can generate a 0.0239 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). William Penn Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for William Penn
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as William Penn Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.William Penn Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. William Penn is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the William Penn's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold William Penn Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of William Penn within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
William Penn Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of William Penn for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for William Penn Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| William Penn Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| William Penn Bancorp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| William Penn Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| On 7th of November 2024 William Penn paid $ 0.03 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
William Penn Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of William Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential William Penn's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. William Penn's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 157.3 M |
William Penn Technical Analysis
William Penn's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. William Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of William Penn Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing William Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
William Penn Predictive Forecast Models
William Penn's time-series forecasting models is one of many William Penn's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary William Penn's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about William Penn Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about William Penn for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for William Penn Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| William Penn Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| William Penn Bancorp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| William Penn Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| On 7th of November 2024 William Penn paid $ 0.03 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Check out William Penn Backtesting, William Penn Valuation, William Penn Correlation, William Penn Hype Analysis, William Penn Volatility, William Penn History as well as William Penn Performance. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of William Penn. If investors know William will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about William Penn listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.631 | Dividend Share 0.12 | Revenue Per Share 2.418 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Equity (0.0002) |
The market value of William Penn Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of William that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of William Penn's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is William Penn's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because William Penn's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect William Penn's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between William Penn's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if William Penn is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, William Penn's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.