Vwf Bancorp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 18.63
| VWFB Stock | USD 14.98 0.01 0.07% |
VWF |
VWF Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 18.63
The tendency of VWF OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 18.63 or more in 90 days |
| 14.98 | 90 days | 18.63 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VWF Bancorp to move over $ 18.63 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This VWF Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of VWF OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VWF Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 14.98 and $ 18.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.41 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VWF Bancorp has a beta of -0.24. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VWF Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VWF Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VWF Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0172, implying that it can generate a 0.0172 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VWF Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VWF Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VWF Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VWF Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VWF Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VWF Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VWF Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VWF Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
VWF Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VWF Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VWF Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VWF Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VWF Bancorp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.14 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.8 M. | |
| VWF Bancorp currently holds about 38.18 M in cash with (537.67 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 19.86, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
VWF Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VWF OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VWF Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VWF Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 M |
VWF Bancorp Technical Analysis
VWF Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VWF OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VWF Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing VWF OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VWF Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
VWF Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many VWF Bancorp's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VWF Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VWF Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about VWF Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VWF Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VWF Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VWF Bancorp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.14 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.8 M. | |
| VWF Bancorp currently holds about 38.18 M in cash with (537.67 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 19.86, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in VWF OTC Stock
VWF Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether VWF OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VWF with respect to the benefits of owning VWF Bancorp security.