Victoria Care (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 655.00

VICI Stock  IDR 655.00  15.00  2.34%   
Victoria Care's future price is the expected price of Victoria Care instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Victoria Care Indonesia performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Victoria Care Backtesting, Victoria Care Valuation, Victoria Care Correlation, Victoria Care Hype Analysis, Victoria Care Volatility, Victoria Care History as well as Victoria Care Performance.
  
Please specify Victoria Care's target price for which you would like Victoria Care odds to be computed.

Victoria Care Target Price Odds to finish over 655.00

The tendency of Victoria Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 655.00 90 days 655.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Victoria Care to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Victoria Care Indonesia probability density function shows the probability of Victoria Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Victoria Care has a beta of 0.11. This entails as returns on the market go up, Victoria Care average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Victoria Care Indonesia will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Victoria Care Indonesia has an alpha of 0.0539, implying that it can generate a 0.0539 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Victoria Care Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Victoria Care

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Victoria Care Indonesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
654.16655.00655.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
641.66642.50720.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
671.15671.99672.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
557.09630.71704.34
Details

Victoria Care Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Victoria Care is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Victoria Care's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Victoria Care Indonesia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Victoria Care within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
10.50
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Victoria Care Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Victoria Care for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Victoria Care Indonesia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Victoria Care Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Victoria Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Victoria Care's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Victoria Care's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments4.3 B

Victoria Care Technical Analysis

Victoria Care's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Victoria Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Victoria Care Indonesia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Victoria Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Victoria Care Predictive Forecast Models

Victoria Care's time-series forecasting models is one of many Victoria Care's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Victoria Care's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Victoria Care Indonesia

Checking the ongoing alerts about Victoria Care for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Victoria Care Indonesia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Victoria Stock

Victoria Care financial ratios help investors to determine whether Victoria Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Victoria with respect to the benefits of owning Victoria Care security.