Velocity Financial Llc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.54
| VEL Stock | USD 19.37 0.09 0.46% |
Velocity |
Velocity Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 16.54
The tendency of Velocity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 16.54 or more in 90 days |
| 19.37 | 90 days | 16.54 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Velocity Financial to drop to $ 16.54 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Velocity Financial Llc probability density function shows the probability of Velocity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Velocity Financial Llc price to stay between $ 16.54 and its current price of $19.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.28 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Velocity Financial Llc has a beta of -0.0293. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Velocity Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Velocity Financial Llc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Velocity Financial Llc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Velocity Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Velocity Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Velocity Financial Llc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Velocity Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Velocity Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Velocity Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Velocity Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Velocity Financial Llc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Velocity Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Velocity Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Velocity Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Velocity Financial Llc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Velocity Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Velocity Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading |
Velocity Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Velocity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Velocity Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Velocity Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40.6 M |
Velocity Financial Technical Analysis
Velocity Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Velocity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Velocity Financial Llc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Velocity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Velocity Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Velocity Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Velocity Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Velocity Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Velocity Financial Llc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Velocity Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Velocity Financial Llc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Velocity Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Velocity Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading |
Check out Velocity Financial Backtesting, Velocity Financial Valuation, Velocity Financial Correlation, Velocity Financial Hype Analysis, Velocity Financial Volatility, Velocity Financial History as well as Velocity Financial Performance. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Velocity Financial. If investors know Velocity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Velocity Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.265 | Earnings Share 1.84 | Revenue Per Share 4.973 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.291 | Return On Assets 0.0139 |
The market value of Velocity Financial Llc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Velocity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Velocity Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Velocity Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Velocity Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Velocity Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Velocity Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Velocity Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Velocity Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.