JPM 5546 15 DEC 25 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 100.94
| 46647PDM5 | 100.71 0.84 0.84% |
46647PDM5 |
46647PDM5 Target Price Odds to finish over 100.94
The tendency of 46647PDM5 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 100.94 or more in 90 days |
| 100.71 | 90 days | 100.94 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 46647PDM5 to move over 100.94 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This JPM 5546 15 DEC 25 probability density function shows the probability of 46647PDM5 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JPM 5546 15 price to stay between its current price of 100.71 and 100.94 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 46647PDM5 has a beta of 0.0066. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 46647PDM5 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JPM 5546 15 DEC 25 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JPM 5546 15 DEC 25 has an alpha of 0.0011, implying that it can generate a 0.001098 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). 46647PDM5 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 46647PDM5
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPM 5546 15. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.46647PDM5 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 46647PDM5 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 46647PDM5's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPM 5546 15 DEC 25, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 46647PDM5 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
46647PDM5 Technical Analysis
46647PDM5's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 46647PDM5 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPM 5546 15 DEC 25. In general, you should focus on analyzing 46647PDM5 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
46647PDM5 Predictive Forecast Models
46647PDM5's time-series forecasting models is one of many 46647PDM5's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 46647PDM5's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards 46647PDM5 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, 46647PDM5's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from 46647PDM5 options trading.
Other Information on Investing in 46647PDM5 Bond
46647PDM5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 46647PDM5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 46647PDM5 with respect to the benefits of owning 46647PDM5 security.