Universal Logistics Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 42.58
| ULH Stock | USD 47.15 1.59 3.49% |
Universal |
Universal Logistics Target Price Odds to finish below 42.58
The tendency of Universal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 42.58 or more in 90 days |
| 47.15 | 90 days | 42.58 | about 15.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Universal Logistics to drop to $ 42.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.29 (This Universal Logistics Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Universal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Universal Logistics price to stay between $ 42.58 and its current price of $47.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.43 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.4 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Universal Logistics will likely underperform. Additionally Universal Logistics Holdings has an alpha of 0.0686, implying that it can generate a 0.0686 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Universal Logistics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Universal Logistics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Universal Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Universal Logistics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Universal Logistics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Universal Logistics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Universal Logistics Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Universal Logistics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Universal Logistics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Universal Logistics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Universal Logistics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Universal Logistics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Universal Logistics has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: One of Cincinnatis largest logistics companies sold to Universal Logistics Holding for 194M |
Universal Logistics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Universal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Universal Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Universal Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.3 M |
Universal Logistics Technical Analysis
Universal Logistics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Universal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Universal Logistics Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Universal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Universal Logistics Predictive Forecast Models
Universal Logistics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Universal Logistics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Universal Logistics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Universal Logistics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Universal Logistics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Universal Logistics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Universal Logistics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Universal Logistics has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: One of Cincinnatis largest logistics companies sold to Universal Logistics Holding for 194M |
Check out Universal Logistics Backtesting, Universal Logistics Valuation, Universal Logistics Correlation, Universal Logistics Hype Analysis, Universal Logistics Volatility, Universal Logistics History as well as Universal Logistics Performance. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Universal Logistics. If investors know Universal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Universal Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.15 | Dividend Share 0.42 | Earnings Share 4.98 | Revenue Per Share 67.353 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.013 |
The market value of Universal Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Universal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Universal Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Universal Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Universal Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Universal Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Universal Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Universal Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Universal Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.