Tennessee Valley Authority Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.47
| TVE Stock | USD 22.47 0.03 0.13% |
Tennessee |
Tennessee Valley Target Price Odds to finish over 22.47
The tendency of Tennessee Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 22.47 | 90 days | 22.47 | about 53.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tennessee Valley to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 53.62 (This Tennessee Valley Authority probability density function shows the probability of Tennessee Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Tennessee Valley Authority has a beta of -0.0021. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tennessee Valley are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tennessee Valley Authority is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tennessee Valley Authority has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tennessee Valley Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tennessee Valley
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tennessee Valley Aut. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tennessee Valley's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tennessee Valley Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tennessee Valley is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tennessee Valley's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tennessee Valley Authority, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tennessee Valley within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0001 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0021 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.27 |
Tennessee Valley Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tennessee Valley for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tennessee Valley Aut can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tennessee Valley Aut has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments | |
| Tennessee Valley Authority has 960 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 276.9, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Tennessee Valley Aut has a current ratio of 0.63, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Tennessee to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Tennessee Valley Aut has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Tennessee Valley paid $ 0.1385 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Earnings call transcript CleanSpark sees strong growth, stock rises |
Tennessee Valley Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tennessee Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tennessee Valley's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tennessee Valley's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 525 K |
Tennessee Valley Technical Analysis
Tennessee Valley's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tennessee Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tennessee Valley Authority. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tennessee Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tennessee Valley Predictive Forecast Models
Tennessee Valley's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tennessee Valley's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tennessee Valley's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tennessee Valley Aut
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tennessee Valley for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tennessee Valley Aut help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tennessee Valley Aut has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments | |
| Tennessee Valley Authority has 960 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 276.9, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Tennessee Valley Aut has a current ratio of 0.63, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Tennessee to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Tennessee Valley Aut has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Tennessee Valley paid $ 0.1385 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Earnings call transcript CleanSpark sees strong growth, stock rises |
Check out Tennessee Valley Backtesting, Tennessee Valley Valuation, Tennessee Valley Correlation, Tennessee Valley Hype Analysis, Tennessee Valley Volatility, Tennessee Valley History as well as Tennessee Valley Performance. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tennessee Valley. If investors know Tennessee will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tennessee Valley listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Tennessee Valley Aut is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tennessee that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tennessee Valley's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tennessee Valley's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tennessee Valley's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tennessee Valley's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tennessee Valley's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tennessee Valley is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tennessee Valley's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.