LendingTree (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.16
| T77 Stock | EUR 37.27 0.01 0.03% |
LendingTree |
LendingTree Target Price Odds to finish below 23.16
The tendency of LendingTree Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 23.16 or more in 90 days |
| 37.27 | 90 days | 23.16 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LendingTree to drop to € 23.16 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This LendingTree probability density function shows the probability of LendingTree Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LendingTree price to stay between € 23.16 and its current price of €37.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.35 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.17 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, LendingTree will likely underperform. Additionally LendingTree has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. LendingTree Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LendingTree
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LendingTree. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LendingTree Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LendingTree is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LendingTree's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LendingTree, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LendingTree within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
LendingTree Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LendingTree for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LendingTree can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LendingTree generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LendingTree has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| LendingTree has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
LendingTree Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LendingTree Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LendingTree's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LendingTree's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.1 M |
LendingTree Technical Analysis
LendingTree's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LendingTree Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LendingTree. In general, you should focus on analyzing LendingTree Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LendingTree Predictive Forecast Models
LendingTree's time-series forecasting models is one of many LendingTree's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LendingTree's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LendingTree
Checking the ongoing alerts about LendingTree for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LendingTree help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LendingTree generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LendingTree has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| LendingTree has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in LendingTree Stock
When determining whether LendingTree is a strong investment it is important to analyze LendingTree's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact LendingTree's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding LendingTree Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out LendingTree Backtesting, LendingTree Valuation, LendingTree Correlation, LendingTree Hype Analysis, LendingTree Volatility, LendingTree History as well as LendingTree Performance. For more detail on how to invest in LendingTree Stock please use our How to Invest in LendingTree guide.You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.