Shore Bancshares Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.25

SHBI Stock  USD 15.85  0.02  0.13%   
Shore Bancshares' future price is the expected price of Shore Bancshares instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shore Bancshares performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shore Bancshares Backtesting, Shore Bancshares Valuation, Shore Bancshares Correlation, Shore Bancshares Hype Analysis, Shore Bancshares Volatility, Shore Bancshares History as well as Shore Bancshares Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Shore Stock please use our How to Invest in Shore Bancshares guide.
  
As of now, Shore Bancshares' Price To Book Ratio is increasing as compared to previous years. The Shore Bancshares' current Price Sales Ratio is estimated to increase to 5.48, while Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to decrease to (0.48). Please specify Shore Bancshares' target price for which you would like Shore Bancshares odds to be computed.

Shore Bancshares Target Price Odds to finish below 4.25

The tendency of Shore Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 4.25  or more in 90 days
 15.85 90 days 4.25 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shore Bancshares to drop to $ 4.25  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Shore Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of Shore Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shore Bancshares price to stay between $ 4.25  and its current price of $15.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.69 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Shore Bancshares has a beta of 0.0567. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Shore Bancshares average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shore Bancshares will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shore Bancshares has an alpha of 0.2388, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shore Bancshares Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shore Bancshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shore Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.5815.8118.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.3215.5517.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.5215.7517.98
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.2913.5014.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shore Bancshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shore Bancshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shore Bancshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shore Bancshares.

Shore Bancshares Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shore Bancshares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shore Bancshares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shore Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shore Bancshares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Shore Bancshares Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shore Bancshares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shore Bancshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 29th of November 2024 Shore Bancshares paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Northwest Bancshares, Inc. Announces Agreement to Acquire Penns Woods Bancorp, Inc. - PR Newswire

Shore Bancshares Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shore Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shore Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shore Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments482.9 M

Shore Bancshares Technical Analysis

Shore Bancshares' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shore Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shore Bancshares. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shore Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shore Bancshares Predictive Forecast Models

Shore Bancshares' time-series forecasting models is one of many Shore Bancshares' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shore Bancshares' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Naive Prediction
Simple Exponential Smoothing
Double Exponential Smoothing
Triple Exponential Smoothing
Simple Regression
Polynomial Regression
Simple