Saksoft (India) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 243.62

SAKSOFT Stock   217.47  0.99  0.45%   
Saksoft's future price is the expected price of Saksoft instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Saksoft Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Saksoft Backtesting, Saksoft Valuation, Saksoft Correlation, Saksoft Hype Analysis, Saksoft Volatility, Saksoft History as well as Saksoft Performance.
  
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Saksoft Target Price Odds to finish below 243.62

The tendency of Saksoft Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  243.62  after 90 days
 217.47 90 days 243.62 
about 68.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saksoft to stay under  243.62  after 90 days from now is about 68.6 (This Saksoft Limited probability density function shows the probability of Saksoft Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Saksoft Limited price to stay between its current price of  217.47  and  243.62  at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Saksoft has a beta of 0.71. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Saksoft average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Saksoft Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Saksoft Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Saksoft Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Saksoft

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saksoft Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
215.28217.78220.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
199.75202.25239.22
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Saksoft Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saksoft is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saksoft's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saksoft Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saksoft within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.71
σ
Overall volatility
18.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Saksoft Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saksoft for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saksoft Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Saksoft Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Saksoft Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Saksoft Receives Hold Rating from MarketsMOJO, Stock Trading at Premium Valuations - MarketsMojo

Saksoft Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Saksoft Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Saksoft's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Saksoft's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding132 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.1 B

Saksoft Technical Analysis

Saksoft's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saksoft Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saksoft Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saksoft Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Saksoft Predictive Forecast Models

Saksoft's time-series forecasting models is one of many Saksoft's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Saksoft's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Saksoft Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Saksoft for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Saksoft Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Saksoft Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Saksoft Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Saksoft Receives Hold Rating from MarketsMOJO, Stock Trading at Premium Valuations - MarketsMojo

Additional Tools for Saksoft Stock Analysis

When running Saksoft's price analysis, check to measure Saksoft's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Saksoft is operating at the current time. Most of Saksoft's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Saksoft's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Saksoft's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Saksoft to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.