Saksoft Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

SAKSOFT Stock   222.93  1.61  0.72%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Saksoft Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 224.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 367.92. Saksoft Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Saksoft's Net Receivables is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to gain to about 8.3 B in 2024, whereas Non Currrent Assets Other are likely to drop slightly above 26.5 M in 2024.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Saksoft Limited is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Saksoft 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Saksoft Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 224.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.34, mean absolute percentage error of 70.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 367.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Saksoft Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Saksoft's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Saksoft Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SaksoftSaksoft Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Saksoft Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Saksoft's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Saksoft's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 222.45 and 227.43, respectively. We have considered Saksoft's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
222.93
222.45
Downside
224.94
Expected Value
227.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Saksoft stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Saksoft stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.8488
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.1203
MADMean absolute deviation6.3435
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0275
SAESum of the absolute errors367.925
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Saksoft. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Saksoft Limited and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Saksoft

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saksoft Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
220.76223.25225.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
184.77187.26245.22
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Saksoft

For every potential investor in Saksoft, whether a beginner or expert, Saksoft's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Saksoft Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Saksoft. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Saksoft's price trends.

Saksoft Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Saksoft stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Saksoft could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Saksoft by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Saksoft Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Saksoft's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Saksoft's current price.

Saksoft Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Saksoft stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Saksoft shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Saksoft stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Saksoft Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Saksoft Risk Indicators

The analysis of Saksoft's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Saksoft's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting saksoft stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Saksoft Stock Analysis

When running Saksoft's price analysis, check to measure Saksoft's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Saksoft is operating at the current time. Most of Saksoft's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Saksoft's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Saksoft's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Saksoft to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.