REAL INVESTOR (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 98.42
| RINV11 Fund | 98.50 1.55 1.60% |
REAL |
REAL INVESTOR Target Price Odds to finish over 98.42
The tendency of REAL Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 98.42 in 90 days |
| 98.50 | 90 days | 98.42 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of REAL INVESTOR to stay above 98.42 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This REAL INVESTOR FUNDO probability density function shows the probability of REAL Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of REAL INVESTOR FUNDO price to stay between 98.42 and its current price of 98.5 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon REAL INVESTOR has a beta of 0.0512 indicating as returns on the market go up, REAL INVESTOR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding REAL INVESTOR FUNDO will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally REAL INVESTOR FUNDO has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. REAL INVESTOR Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for REAL INVESTOR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as REAL INVESTOR FUNDO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.REAL INVESTOR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. REAL INVESTOR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the REAL INVESTOR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold REAL INVESTOR FUNDO, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of REAL INVESTOR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
REAL INVESTOR Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of REAL INVESTOR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for REAL INVESTOR FUNDO can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| REAL INVESTOR FUNDO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
REAL INVESTOR Technical Analysis
REAL INVESTOR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. REAL Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of REAL INVESTOR FUNDO. In general, you should focus on analyzing REAL Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
REAL INVESTOR Predictive Forecast Models
REAL INVESTOR's time-series forecasting models is one of many REAL INVESTOR's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary REAL INVESTOR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about REAL INVESTOR FUNDO
Checking the ongoing alerts about REAL INVESTOR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for REAL INVESTOR FUNDO help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| REAL INVESTOR FUNDO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
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