REAL INVESTOR Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RINV11 Fund | 98.50 1.55 1.60% |
REAL |
REAL INVESTOR Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of REAL INVESTOR FUNDO on the next trading day is expected to be 98.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.57.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict REAL Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that REAL INVESTOR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
REAL INVESTOR Fund Forecast Pattern
REAL INVESTOR Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting REAL INVESTOR's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. REAL INVESTOR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 97.60 and 99.25, respectively. We have considered REAL INVESTOR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of REAL INVESTOR fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent REAL INVESTOR fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.658 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1477 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5012 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0049 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 30.5745 |
Predictive Modules for REAL INVESTOR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as REAL INVESTOR FUNDO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for REAL INVESTOR
For every potential investor in REAL, whether a beginner or expert, REAL INVESTOR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. REAL Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in REAL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying REAL INVESTOR's price trends.REAL INVESTOR Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with REAL INVESTOR fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of REAL INVESTOR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing REAL INVESTOR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
REAL INVESTOR FUNDO Technical and Predictive Analytics
The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of REAL INVESTOR's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of REAL INVESTOR's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
REAL INVESTOR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how REAL INVESTOR fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading REAL INVESTOR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying REAL INVESTOR fund market strength indicators, traders can identify REAL INVESTOR FUNDO entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
REAL INVESTOR Risk Indicators
The analysis of REAL INVESTOR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in REAL INVESTOR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting real fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8085 | |||
| Variance | 0.6537 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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