POLY Chance of Future Crypto Coin Price Finishing Over 0.0959
| POLY Crypto | USD 0.1 0.11 54.33% |
POLY |
POLY Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0959
The tendency of POLY Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.1 | 90 days | 0.1 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of POLY to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This POLY probability density function shows the probability of POLY Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon POLY has a beta of 0.59 indicating as returns on the market go up, POLY average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding POLY will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally POLY has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. POLY Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for POLY
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as POLY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.POLY Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. POLY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the POLY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold POLY, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of POLY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.9 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
POLY Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of POLY for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for POLY can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| POLY generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| POLY has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| POLY has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency |
POLY Technical Analysis
POLY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. POLY Crypto Coin technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of POLY. In general, you should focus on analyzing POLY Crypto Coin price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
POLY Predictive Forecast Models
POLY's time-series forecasting models is one of many POLY's crypto coin analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary POLY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the crypto coin market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about POLY
Checking the ongoing alerts about POLY for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for POLY help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| POLY generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| POLY has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| POLY has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency |
Check out POLY Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, POLY Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, POLY Volatility, POLY History as well as POLY Performance. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.