Power Finance (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 477.66
| PFC Stock | 456.50 3.20 0.71% |
Power |
Power Finance Target Price Odds to finish below 477.66
The tendency of Power Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 477.66 after 90 days |
| 456.50 | 90 days | 477.66 | about 53.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Power Finance to stay under 477.66 after 90 days from now is about 53.97 (This Power Finance probability density function shows the probability of Power Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Power Finance price to stay between its current price of 456.50 and 477.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Power Finance has a beta of 0.0118 indicating as returns on the market go up, Power Finance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Power Finance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Power Finance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Power Finance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Power Finance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Power Finance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Power Finance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Power Finance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Power Finance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Power Finance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Power Finance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 21.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Power Finance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Power Finance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Power Finance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Power Finance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Power Finance is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Power Finance has accumulated about 39.73 B in cash with (978.2 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Stocks To Watch Tata Power, Vodafone Idea, Mahindra Mahindra, Power Finance Corp, Biocon, Tata Motors, Metropolis Healthcare - The Financial Express |
Power Finance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Power Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Power Finance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Power Finance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.9 B |
Power Finance Technical Analysis
Power Finance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Power Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Power Finance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Power Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Power Finance Predictive Forecast Models
Power Finance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Power Finance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Power Finance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Power Finance
Checking the ongoing alerts about Power Finance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Power Finance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Power Finance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Power Finance is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Power Finance has accumulated about 39.73 B in cash with (978.2 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Stocks To Watch Tata Power, Vodafone Idea, Mahindra Mahindra, Power Finance Corp, Biocon, Tata Motors, Metropolis Healthcare - The Financial Express |
Other Information on Investing in Power Stock
Power Finance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Power Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Power with respect to the benefits of owning Power Finance security.