Papilon Savunma (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.09
| PAPIL Stock | TRY 12.52 0.18 1.42% |
Papilon |
Papilon Savunma Target Price Odds to finish over 18.09
The tendency of Papilon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 18.09 or more in 90 days |
| 12.52 | 90 days | 18.09 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Papilon Savunma to move over 18.09 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Papilon Savunma Guvenlik probability density function shows the probability of Papilon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Papilon Savunma Guvenlik price to stay between its current price of 12.52 and 18.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Papilon Savunma Guvenlik has a beta of -0.3 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Papilon Savunma are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Papilon Savunma Guvenlik is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Papilon Savunma Guvenlik has an alpha of 0.0877, implying that it can generate a 0.0877 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Papilon Savunma Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Papilon Savunma
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Papilon Savunma Guvenlik. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Papilon Savunma Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Papilon Savunma is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Papilon Savunma's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Papilon Savunma Guvenlik, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Papilon Savunma within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Papilon Savunma Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Papilon Savunma for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Papilon Savunma Guvenlik can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Papilon Savunma had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Papilon Savunma has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Papilon Savunma Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Papilon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Papilon Savunma's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Papilon Savunma's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 500 K |
Papilon Savunma Technical Analysis
Papilon Savunma's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Papilon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Papilon Savunma Guvenlik. In general, you should focus on analyzing Papilon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Papilon Savunma Predictive Forecast Models
Papilon Savunma's time-series forecasting models is one of many Papilon Savunma's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Papilon Savunma's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Papilon Savunma Guvenlik
Checking the ongoing alerts about Papilon Savunma for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Papilon Savunma Guvenlik help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Papilon Savunma had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Papilon Savunma has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Papilon Stock
Papilon Savunma financial ratios help investors to determine whether Papilon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Papilon with respect to the benefits of owning Papilon Savunma security.