Outbrain Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.66
| OB Stock | USD 7.18 0.07 0.97% |
Outbrain |
Outbrain Target Price Odds to finish below 4.66
The tendency of Outbrain Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 4.66 or more in 90 days |
| 7.18 | 90 days | 4.66 | about 23.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Outbrain to drop to $ 4.66 or more in 90 days from now is about 23.51 (This Outbrain probability density function shows the probability of Outbrain Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Outbrain price to stay between $ 4.66 and its current price of $7.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.31 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Outbrain has a beta of -0.26. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Outbrain are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Outbrain is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Outbrain has an alpha of 0.5978, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Outbrain Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Outbrain
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Outbrain. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Outbrain Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Outbrain is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Outbrain's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Outbrain, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Outbrain within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Outbrain Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Outbrain for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Outbrain can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Outbrain has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Outbrain co-founder Galai Yaron sells 373,875 in stock - Investing.com |
Outbrain Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Outbrain Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Outbrain's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Outbrain's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 165.2 M |
Outbrain Technical Analysis
Outbrain's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Outbrain Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Outbrain. In general, you should focus on analyzing Outbrain Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Outbrain Predictive Forecast Models
Outbrain's time-series forecasting models is one of many Outbrain's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Outbrain's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.