Outbrain Stock Market Value
| OB Stock | USD 4.03 0.05 1.23% |
| Symbol | Outbrain |
Outbrain Price To Book Ratio
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Outbrain. If investors know Outbrain will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Outbrain listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Earnings Share (0.11) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Outbrain is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Outbrain that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Outbrain's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Outbrain's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Outbrain's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Outbrain's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Outbrain's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Outbrain is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Outbrain's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Outbrain 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Outbrain's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Outbrain.
| 12/16/2024 |
| 03/16/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Outbrain on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Outbrain or generate 0.0% return on investment in Outbrain over 90 days. Outbrain is related to or competes with Perion Network, Taboola, Fiverr International, ANGI Homeservices, Match, MediaAlpha, and YY. Outbrain Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates an online content recommendation platform worldwide More
Outbrain Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Outbrain's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Outbrain upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 22.88 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.91) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.46 |
Outbrain Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Outbrain's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Outbrain's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Outbrain historical prices to predict the future Outbrain's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.50) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.78) |
Outbrain Backtested Returns
Outbrain maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.22, which implies the firm had a -0.22 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Outbrain exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Outbrain's Variance of 15.95, risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Coefficient Of Variation of (699.36) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.74, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Outbrain's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Outbrain is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Outbrain has a negative expected return of -0.84%. Please make sure to check Outbrain's kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if Outbrain performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.81 |
Very good predictability
Outbrain has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Outbrain time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Outbrain price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Outbrain price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.81 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.63 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.28 |
Outbrain lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Outbrain stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Outbrain's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Outbrain returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Outbrain has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Outbrain regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Outbrain stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Outbrain stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Outbrain stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Outbrain Lagged Returns
When evaluating Outbrain's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Outbrain stock have on its future price. Outbrain autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Outbrain autocorrelation shows the relationship between Outbrain stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Outbrain.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out Outbrain Correlation, Outbrain Volatility and Outbrain Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Outbrain. For information on how to trade Outbrain Stock refer to our How to Trade Outbrain Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Outbrain technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.