KCE EL (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.96
| NVPA Stock | EUR 0.63 0.07 12.50% |
KCE |
KCE EL Target Price Odds to finish below 0.96
The tendency of KCE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 0.96 after 90 days |
| 0.63 | 90 days | 0.96 | about 74.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KCE EL to stay under € 0.96 after 90 days from now is about 74.04 (This KCE EL PCL probability density function shows the probability of KCE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KCE EL PCL price to stay between its current price of € 0.63 and € 0.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KCE EL has a beta of 0.0566. This indicates as returns on the market go up, KCE EL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KCE EL PCL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KCE EL PCL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. KCE EL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KCE EL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KCE EL PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KCE EL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KCE EL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KCE EL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KCE EL PCL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KCE EL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.72 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
KCE EL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KCE EL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KCE EL PCL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KCE EL PCL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KCE EL PCL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| KCE EL PCL has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
KCE EL Technical Analysis
KCE EL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KCE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KCE EL PCL. In general, you should focus on analyzing KCE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KCE EL Predictive Forecast Models
KCE EL's time-series forecasting models is one of many KCE EL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KCE EL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KCE EL PCL
Checking the ongoing alerts about KCE EL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KCE EL PCL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KCE EL PCL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KCE EL PCL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| KCE EL PCL has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Other Information on Investing in KCE Stock
KCE EL financial ratios help investors to determine whether KCE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KCE with respect to the benefits of owning KCE EL security.