Nhpap Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.40

NHPAP Stock   14.40  0.13  0.89%   
NHPAP's future price is the expected price of NHPAP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NHPAP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NHPAP Backtesting, NHPAP Valuation, NHPAP Correlation, NHPAP Hype Analysis, NHPAP Volatility, NHPAP History as well as NHPAP Performance.
To learn how to invest in NHPAP Stock, please use our How to Invest in NHPAP guide.
  
Please specify NHPAP's target price for which you would like NHPAP odds to be computed.

NHPAP Target Price Odds to finish over 14.40

The tendency of NHPAP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.40 90 days 14.40 
about 91.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NHPAP to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.64 (This NHPAP probability density function shows the probability of NHPAP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon NHPAP has a beta of 0.0315. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NHPAP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NHPAP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NHPAP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NHPAP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NHPAP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NHPAP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.0114.4015.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.2814.6716.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.4914.8816.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.0614.4714.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NHPAP. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NHPAP's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NHPAP's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NHPAP.

NHPAP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NHPAP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NHPAP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NHPAP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NHPAP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

NHPAP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NHPAP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NHPAP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NHPAP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NHPAP was previously known as Healthcare Trust PR and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol HTIA.

NHPAP Technical Analysis

NHPAP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NHPAP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NHPAP. In general, you should focus on analyzing NHPAP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NHPAP Predictive Forecast Models

NHPAP's time-series forecasting models is one of many NHPAP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NHPAP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NHPAP

Checking the ongoing alerts about NHPAP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NHPAP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NHPAP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NHPAP was previously known as Healthcare Trust PR and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol HTIA.

Additional Tools for NHPAP Stock Analysis

When running NHPAP's price analysis, check to measure NHPAP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NHPAP is operating at the current time. Most of NHPAP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NHPAP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NHPAP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NHPAP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.