Neola Medical (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.20

NEOLA Stock   2.20  0.06  2.65%   
Neola Medical's future price is the expected price of Neola Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Neola Medical AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Neola Medical Backtesting, Neola Medical Valuation, Neola Medical Correlation, Neola Medical Hype Analysis, Neola Medical Volatility, Neola Medical History as well as Neola Medical Performance.
  
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Neola Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 2.20

The tendency of Neola Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.20 90 days 2.20 
about 87.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Neola Medical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.24 (This Neola Medical AB probability density function shows the probability of Neola Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Neola Medical has a beta of 0.33. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Neola Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Neola Medical AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Neola Medical AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Neola Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Neola Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neola Medical AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.206.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.101.966.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Neola Medical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Neola Medical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Neola Medical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Neola Medical AB.

Neola Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Neola Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Neola Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Neola Medical AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Neola Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Neola Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Neola Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Neola Medical AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Neola Medical AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Neola Medical AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Neola Medical AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Neola Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Neola Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Neola Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Neola Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares FloatM

Neola Medical Technical Analysis

Neola Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Neola Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Neola Medical AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Neola Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Neola Medical Predictive Forecast Models

Neola Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Neola Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Neola Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Neola Medical AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Neola Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Neola Medical AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Neola Medical AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Neola Medical AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Neola Medical AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Neola Stock Analysis

When running Neola Medical's price analysis, check to measure Neola Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Neola Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Neola Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Neola Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Neola Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Neola Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.