Ag Mortgage Investment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.36
| MITN Stock | 25.36 0.04 0.16% |
MITN |
AG Mortgage Target Price Odds to finish over 25.36
The tendency of MITN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 25.36 | 90 days | 25.36 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AG Mortgage to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This AG Mortgage Investment probability density function shows the probability of MITN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AG Mortgage Investment has a beta of -0.056. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AG Mortgage are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AG Mortgage Investment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AG Mortgage Investment has an alpha of 0.0174, implying that it can generate a 0.0174 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AG Mortgage Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AG Mortgage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AG Mortgage Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AG Mortgage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AG Mortgage Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AG Mortgage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AG Mortgage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AG Mortgage Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AG Mortgage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
AG Mortgage Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AG Mortgage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AG Mortgage Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| On 15th of November 2024 AG Mortgage paid 0.5938 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter 2024 Common Dividend, Payable on January 31, 2025 - Marketscreener.com |
AG Mortgage Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MITN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AG Mortgage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AG Mortgage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.1 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 35.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 111.5 M |
AG Mortgage Technical Analysis
AG Mortgage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MITN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AG Mortgage Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing MITN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AG Mortgage Predictive Forecast Models
AG Mortgage's time-series forecasting models is one of many AG Mortgage's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AG Mortgage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AG Mortgage Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about AG Mortgage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AG Mortgage Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| On 15th of November 2024 AG Mortgage paid 0.5938 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter 2024 Common Dividend, Payable on January 31, 2025 - Marketscreener.com |
Check out AG Mortgage Backtesting, AG Mortgage Valuation, AG Mortgage Correlation, AG Mortgage Hype Analysis, AG Mortgage Volatility, AG Mortgage History as well as AG Mortgage Performance. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Trading space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AG Mortgage. If investors know MITN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AG Mortgage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of AG Mortgage Investment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MITN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AG Mortgage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AG Mortgage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AG Mortgage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AG Mortgage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AG Mortgage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AG Mortgage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AG Mortgage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.