Coliseum Acquisition Corp Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.49

MITADelisted Stock  USD 11.51  0.00  0.00%   
Coliseum Acquisition's future price is the expected price of Coliseum Acquisition instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Coliseum Acquisition Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Coliseum Acquisition Backtesting, Coliseum Acquisition Valuation, Coliseum Acquisition Correlation, Coliseum Acquisition Hype Analysis, Coliseum Acquisition Volatility, Coliseum Acquisition History as well as Coliseum Acquisition Performance.
  
Please specify Coliseum Acquisition's target price for which you would like Coliseum Acquisition odds to be computed.

Coliseum Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish over 11.49

The tendency of Coliseum Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 11.49  in 90 days
 11.51 90 days 11.49 
about 6.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coliseum Acquisition to stay above $ 11.49  in 90 days from now is about 6.31 (This Coliseum Acquisition Corp probability density function shows the probability of Coliseum Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coliseum Acquisition Corp price to stay between $ 11.49  and its current price of $11.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.33 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Coliseum Acquisition Corp has a beta of -0.0633. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Coliseum Acquisition are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Coliseum Acquisition Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Coliseum Acquisition Corp has an alpha of 0.0457, implying that it can generate a 0.0457 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Coliseum Acquisition Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Coliseum Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coliseum Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coliseum Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4111.4812.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.699.7612.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3511.4212.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.4011.5411.68
Details

Coliseum Acquisition Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coliseum Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coliseum Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coliseum Acquisition Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coliseum Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Coliseum Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coliseum Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coliseum Acquisition Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coliseum Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Coliseum Acquisition Corp currently holds about 479.01 K in cash with (273.92 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1550000 shares by You Harry L. of Coliseum Acquisition subject to Rule 16b-3

Coliseum Acquisition Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coliseum Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coliseum Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coliseum Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments31 M

Coliseum Acquisition Technical Analysis

Coliseum Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coliseum Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coliseum Acquisition Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coliseum Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Coliseum Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models

Coliseum Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coliseum Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coliseum Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Coliseum Acquisition Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Coliseum Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coliseum Acquisition Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coliseum Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Coliseum Acquisition Corp currently holds about 479.01 K in cash with (273.92 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1550000 shares by You Harry L. of Coliseum Acquisition subject to Rule 16b-3

Other Consideration for investing in Coliseum Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Coliseum Acquisition Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Coliseum Acquisition's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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