Coliseum Acquisition Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| MITA Stock | USD 11.51 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Coliseum Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 11.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.51. Coliseum Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Coliseum Acquisition stock prices and determine the direction of Coliseum Acquisition Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Coliseum Acquisition's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Coliseum |
Coliseum Acquisition Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Coliseum Acquisition's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 35.6 M | Current Value 37.4 M | Quarterly Volatility 13.7 M |
Coliseum Acquisition Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Coliseum Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 11.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coliseum Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coliseum Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Coliseum Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Coliseum Acquisition | Coliseum Acquisition Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coliseum Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coliseum Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.9875 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0411 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0036 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.5082 |
Predictive Modules for Coliseum Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coliseum Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coliseum Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Coliseum Acquisition Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coliseum Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coliseum Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coliseum Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Coliseum Acquisition Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coliseum Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coliseum Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coliseum Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Coliseum Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Coliseum Acquisition Risk Indicators
The analysis of Coliseum Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coliseum Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coliseum stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4281 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6917 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Variance | 1.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.47 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4785 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Coliseum Stock
Coliseum Acquisition financial ratios help investors to determine whether Coliseum Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Coliseum with respect to the benefits of owning Coliseum Acquisition security.