Intermedia Capital (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 33.00
| MDIA Stock | IDR 33.00 3.00 8.33% |
Intermedia |
Intermedia Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 33.00
The tendency of Intermedia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 33.00 | 90 days | 33.00 | about 26.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intermedia Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 26.85 (This Intermedia Capital Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Intermedia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Intermedia Capital has a beta of 0.32. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Intermedia Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Intermedia Capital Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. In addition to that Intermedia Capital Tbk has an alpha of 2.0321, implying that it can generate a 2.03 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Intermedia Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Intermedia Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intermedia Capital Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Intermedia Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intermedia Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intermedia Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intermedia Capital Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intermedia Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.47 |
Intermedia Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intermedia Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intermedia Capital Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Intermedia Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Intermedia is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days |
Intermedia Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intermedia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intermedia Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intermedia Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.9 B |
Intermedia Capital Technical Analysis
Intermedia Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intermedia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intermedia Capital Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intermedia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intermedia Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Intermedia Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intermedia Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intermedia Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Intermedia Capital Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Intermedia Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intermedia Capital Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Intermedia Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Intermedia is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Intermedia Stock
Intermedia Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intermedia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intermedia with respect to the benefits of owning Intermedia Capital security.