Levi Strauss (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.13

LV2B Stock  EUR 16.78  0.14  0.84%   
Levi Strauss' future price is the expected price of Levi Strauss instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Levi Strauss Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Levi Strauss Backtesting, Levi Strauss Valuation, Levi Strauss Correlation, Levi Strauss Hype Analysis, Levi Strauss Volatility, Levi Strauss History as well as Levi Strauss Performance.
  
Please specify Levi Strauss' target price for which you would like Levi Strauss odds to be computed.

Levi Strauss Target Price Odds to finish below 20.13

The tendency of Levi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 20.13  after 90 days
 16.78 90 days 20.13 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Levi Strauss to stay under € 20.13  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Levi Strauss Co probability density function shows the probability of Levi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Levi Strauss price to stay between its current price of € 16.78  and € 20.13  at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Levi Strauss has a beta of 0.37. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Levi Strauss average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Levi Strauss Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Levi Strauss Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Levi Strauss Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Levi Strauss

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Levi Strauss. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.3216.7819.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.5517.0119.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Levi Strauss. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Levi Strauss' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Levi Strauss' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Levi Strauss.

Levi Strauss Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Levi Strauss is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Levi Strauss' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Levi Strauss Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Levi Strauss within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
1.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Levi Strauss Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Levi Strauss for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Levi Strauss can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Levi Strauss generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Levi Strauss Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Levi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Levi Strauss' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Levi Strauss' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding393.7 M

Levi Strauss Technical Analysis

Levi Strauss' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Levi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Levi Strauss Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Levi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Levi Strauss Predictive Forecast Models

Levi Strauss' time-series forecasting models is one of many Levi Strauss' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Levi Strauss' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Levi Strauss

Checking the ongoing alerts about Levi Strauss for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Levi Strauss help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Levi Strauss generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Levi Stock

When determining whether Levi Strauss offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Levi Strauss' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Levi Strauss Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Levi Strauss Co Stock:
Check out Levi Strauss Backtesting, Levi Strauss Valuation, Levi Strauss Correlation, Levi Strauss Hype Analysis, Levi Strauss Volatility, Levi Strauss History as well as Levi Strauss Performance.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Levi Strauss' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Levi Strauss is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Levi Strauss' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.