Levi Strauss Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LV2B Stock  EUR 15.95  0.18  1.12%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Levi Strauss Co on the next trading day is expected to be 14.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.40. Levi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Levi Strauss' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Levi Strauss is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Levi Strauss Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Levi Strauss Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Levi Strauss Co on the next trading day is expected to be 14.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Levi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Levi Strauss' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Levi Strauss Stock Forecast Pattern

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Levi Strauss Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Levi Strauss' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Levi Strauss' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.56 and 17.28, respectively. We have considered Levi Strauss' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.95
14.92
Expected Value
17.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Levi Strauss stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Levi Strauss stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.1909
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3017
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0181
SAESum of the absolute errors18.403
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Levi Strauss Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Levi Strauss. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Levi Strauss

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Levi Strauss. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.6015.9518.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2516.5918.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Levi Strauss. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Levi Strauss' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Levi Strauss' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Levi Strauss.

Other Forecasting Options for Levi Strauss

For every potential investor in Levi, whether a beginner or expert, Levi Strauss' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Levi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Levi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Levi Strauss' price trends.

Levi Strauss Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Levi Strauss stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Levi Strauss could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Levi Strauss by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Levi Strauss Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Levi Strauss' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Levi Strauss' current price.

Levi Strauss Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Levi Strauss stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Levi Strauss shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Levi Strauss stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Levi Strauss Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Levi Strauss Risk Indicators

The analysis of Levi Strauss' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Levi Strauss' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting levi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Levi Stock

When determining whether Levi Strauss offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Levi Strauss' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Levi Strauss Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Levi Strauss Co Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Levi Strauss to cross-verify your projections.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Levi Strauss' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Levi Strauss is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Levi Strauss' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.