Life Time Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.13
| LTH Stock | USD 22.75 0.38 1.64% |
Life |
Life Time Target Price Odds to finish below 15.13
The tendency of Life Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 15.13 or more in 90 days |
| 22.75 | 90 days | 15.13 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Life Time to drop to $ 15.13 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Life Time Group probability density function shows the probability of Life Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Life Time Group price to stay between $ 15.13 and its current price of $22.75 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.17 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Life Time will likely underperform. Additionally Life Time Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Life Time Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Life Time
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Life Time Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Life Time's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Life Time Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Life Time is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Life Time's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Life Time Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Life Time within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Life Time Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Life Time for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Life Time Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Life Time Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Life Time Group has 4.26 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.91, which is OK given its current industry classification. Life Time Group has a current ratio of 0.37, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Life to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Life Time Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 83.0% of Life Time shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Life Time Group Holdings the Best Fitness and Gym Stock to Buy Now |
Life Time Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Life Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Life Time's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Life Time's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 204 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 30 M |
Life Time Technical Analysis
Life Time's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Life Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Life Time Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Life Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Life Time Predictive Forecast Models
Life Time's time-series forecasting models is one of many Life Time's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Life Time's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Life Time Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Life Time for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Life Time Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Life Time Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Life Time Group has 4.26 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.91, which is OK given its current industry classification. Life Time Group has a current ratio of 0.37, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Life to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Life Time Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 83.0% of Life Time shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Life Time Group Holdings the Best Fitness and Gym Stock to Buy Now |
Check out Life Time Backtesting, Life Time Valuation, Life Time Correlation, Life Time Hype Analysis, Life Time Volatility, Life Time History as well as Life Time Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Life Time. If investors know Life will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Life Time listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.75 | Earnings Share 0.68 | Revenue Per Share 12.648 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.185 | Return On Assets 0.0294 |
The market value of Life Time Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Life that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Life Time's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Life Time's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Life Time's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Life Time's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Life Time's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Life Time is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Life Time's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.